The Market Huddle

Cycles Against Trends (guest: Alfonso Peccatiello)

Jun 13, 2023
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Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 2min
2
The Importance of Analyzing Macro and Markets
01:56 • 3min
3
The Treasury General Account and Liquidity Drain
04:39 • 2min
4
The Mechanisms of Liquidity Drain
06:37 • 2min
5
The Reverse Repo Account
08:43 • 2min
6
The Fed's Reserve Repo Facility
10:53 • 2min
7
The Dynamics of a Reverse Repo
12:27 • 3min
8
The Reverse Repo Market
15:29 • 3min
9
How to Predict Equity Market Returns
18:55 • 2min
10
Why the Banks Don't Lender Out Reserves
21:07 • 2min
11
The Basics of Bank Lending
23:22 • 5min
12
Quantitative Easing Doesn't Cause Inflation
28:01 • 2min
13
The Response to COVID
30:28 • 3min
14
The Future of Macro Investments
33:32 • 5min
15
The Long-Term Trend in Inflation
38:04 • 5min
16
How to Model Macro Investing
43:27 • 2min
17
The Pain Trade Is Not a Pain Trade
45:43 • 3min
18
How to Measure Consensus in Trading
49:08 • 2min
19
How to Trade for Fun
51:36 • 4min
20
The Importance of Monitoring Correlations
55:54 • 3min
21
The Predictability of Yield Curve Inversions
58:30 • 5min
22
The Importance of Term Premium in the Future
01:03:20 • 4min
23
The Macro Compass
01:07:32 • 2min
24
The Top 3 Things We Were Watching When We Recorded Last Week
01:09:07 • 3min
25
The Market's Widening Out
01:11:54 • 5min
26
The Peak Pain Trade Capitulation
01:16:48 • 5min
27
The Fed's Fear-Greed Index Is a Great Gauge
01:21:50 • 3min
28
The Market's Overextended and Due for a Pullback
01:24:38 • 2min
29
The Top 3 Things to Watch in the Options Market
01:27:08 • 5min
30
The Dollar Index Continues to Rally
01:31:39 • 5min
31
The Declining Follow Through Rally in Gold
01:36:30 • 2min
32
The UVX Y Reverse Split Is the 11th Since It Was Launched in 2011
01:38:49 • 4min
33
Copper's Oversold Bounce
01:42:52 • 2min
34
The Bearish View on Treasury Bonds
01:44:29 • 5min
35
Bond Bulls and the Economic Slowdown
01:49:27 • 4min
36
The Long Japan Short Europe Pair Trade
01:53:01 • 3min
37
The Ibovista: A Weekly Chart of Brazil
01:56:01 • 5min
38
The Negative Yield Curve Turns Positive
02:00:39 • 2min
39
The Unlucky Market Have a List for Dinner
02:02:53 • 4min
40
Kevin's View on the Markets
02:07:02 • 3min
41
The Pain of Pinning the Market Sideways
02:09:50 • 5min
42
How to Keep Long Term Positions From Netting Each Other in Your Portfolio
02:14:46 • 2min
43
How to Keep Track of Your Positions
02:16:43 • 4min
44
How to Be a Better Person
02:21:02 • 4min