
Michael Covel's Trend Following Ep. 425: Philip Tetlock Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Feb 19, 2016
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
The Power of Forecasting
03:07 • 2min
The Good Judgment Project
05:05 • 2min
The Future of Politics
07:15 • 2min
The Lessons Learned From the Iraq War in 2003
09:00 • 4min
The Probabilistic Way of Thinking in Public Discourse
13:13 • 5min
The Importance of Probability in Betting
18:15 • 3min
The Importance of Probability in Decision Making
21:09 • 2min
The Importance of Aggregated Data in Super Forecasting
22:55 • 2min
The Importance of Mental Agility in Forecasting
25:18 • 4min
The Importance of Persuasion
29:03 • 3min
The Benefits of Thinking More Probabilistically
31:51 • 4min
The Probabilistic Mindset
35:37 • 3min
The Nature of Superforecasters
38:34 • 3min
How to Make Money Up, Down and Surprise Markets
41:44 • 3min
