Know Your Risk Podcast

Know Your Risk Radio
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22 snips
Mar 16, 2026 • 51min

Oil Researcher Rory Johnston Explains the Market

Rory Johnston, oil market researcher and founder of CommodityContext.com, explains the current oil market and his data-driven approach. He covers why markets seem confused after shocks. He walks through production shut-ins and slow recovery. He contrasts crude and refined product dislocations. He outlines risks from pipelines, export curbs, and physical vs paper market divergence.
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Mar 13, 2026 • 25min

The Politics of Oil and Markets

Discussion of how oil prices are influenced by policy, supply shortfalls, and geopolitical moves. Breakdown of military chokepoints, drone threats, and the logistics that complicate shipping. Exploration of market sentiment, volatility trades, and why energy and uranium may present buying opportunities. Notes on political signals shaping economic risk without offering investment advice.
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Mar 12, 2026 • 31min

What Are Markets Missing Right Now?

A sharp look at market dynamics, yields, commodities and cross-asset moves. Detailed discussion of the Strait of Hormuz closure, supply chain effects and how few weapons can disrupt shipping. Exploration of oil-politics feedback loops, asymmetric naval threats and operational uncertainty. Notes on muted market reactions, options flows and scenarios that could trigger major repricing.
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11 snips
Mar 11, 2026 • 54min

What Investors Are Missing Right Now

Discussion of oil market mispricing and why front-month prices may not reflect real supply risks. Debate over energy stocks and oil as asymmetric upside plays amid supply disruptions. Analysis of military strategies, shipping insurance refusals, and how Strait closures compound shortages. Talk on geopolitical leverage, China’s tanker behavior, and recommended portfolio shifts into energy and gold.
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Mar 10, 2026 • 34min

The Oil Risk Nobody Is Talking About

A deep look at geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's leverage over global oil flows. Clear breakdowns of how oil pricing works and why market signals may be misleading. Scenarios that model extreme oil price spikes and their economic fallout. Discussion of possible market suppression in futures and why physical shortages would upend paper markets.
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Mar 10, 2026 • 19min

KYR Extra: Explaining the Straight of Hormuz

In this special episode, Zach discusses the complex situation in the Middle East, focusing on the implications of oil pricing and the geopolitical dynamics involving Iran, Israel, and the US. He emphasizes the critical role of oil in the global economy and explains how current events are affecting oil supply and pricing.
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Mar 9, 2026 • 49min

Oil’s Geopolitical Premium

March 9, 2026 - This episode provides an in-depth analysis of the recent geopolitical tensions, oil market dynamics, and their implications for investors. Zach and Chase dissect the current situation with Iran, the strategic moves in oil markets, and what it means for future investments.
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Mar 6, 2026 • 44min

Oil and Global Tension

March 6, 2026 - Zach and Chase analyze current market dynamics, oil prices, geopolitical risks, and investment strategies amid economic uncertainties. They share insights on market behavior, risk management, and macroeconomic trends to help investors navigate turbulent times.
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Mar 5, 2026 • 1h 5min

Josh Young of Bison Interests on the Oil Market

Josh Young, founder and portfolio manager of Bison Interests and author of Bison Insights, shares his oil-market expertise. He discusses geopolitical risks in the Middle East, how marginal barrels set prices, and why passive flows created opportunities for active investors. He outlines potential supply shocks, refinery vs. crude impacts, and where he sees convex investment opportunities in land rig and Canadian equities.
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Mar 5, 2026 • 34min

Oil, Iran, and Market Volatility

A deep dive into how Iran-related tensions are reshaping the oil market and global supply risks. Discussion of price curve signals showing short-term moves versus long-term complacency. Analysis of military escort limits, tanker vulnerability, and escalation scenarios. Exploration of sector impacts from rising oil and where volatility might create investment openings.

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