Know Your Risk Podcast The Politics of Oil and Markets
Mar 13, 2026
Discussion of how oil prices are influenced by policy, supply shortfalls, and geopolitical moves. Breakdown of military chokepoints, drone threats, and the logistics that complicate shipping. Exploration of market sentiment, volatility trades, and why energy and uranium may present buying opportunities. Notes on political signals shaping economic risk without offering investment advice.
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Market In Denial Over Oil Shock
- The market is still in denial about the scale of the shock and is being artificially held up by correlated trading and policy actions.
- Zach Abraham compares oil to a fraying tethered hot air balloon that will eventually break free once physical demand overwhelms paper-market interventions.
Keeping Politics Out Of Portfolio Decisions
- Zach describes separating political views from investment decisions and criticizes policy without partisan intent.
- He recounts voting for Trump to show critique of actions isn't a political attack and stresses portfolio management must avoid campaign thinking.
Cash In Volatility And Reallocate
- Hedge with volatility and rotate into other portfolio torque rather than relying solely on VIX exposure.
- Zach says they cashed in volatility bought near VIX 15 while front month hit 27 to redeploy into higher-torque positions.