Know Your Risk Podcast
Know Your Risk Radio
Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/
Episodes
Mentioned books
10 snips
Mar 27, 2026 • 1h 10min
The Blind Spots in Today’s Market
They unpack market blind spots caused by ETF flows and fragile correlations. Commodity dynamics get attention, from oil rallies and energy tradeoffs to gold's reserve role. Geopolitics and chokepoints surface as drivers of sustained price shifts. Policy mistakes and interventions that mute price signals are explored alongside unusual shortages like helium.
Mar 26, 2026 • 23min
Why Politics Is Confusing Investors
Chase Taylor, a macro analyst at Pinecone Macro who provides market commentary and tactical analysis on equities, bonds, and commodities. He dives into market moves across S&P, NASDAQ, bonds and oil. They explore separating politics from financial analysis, oil market dislocations, timing risks from delayed signals, and the real-world implications of military logistics and shipping-lane threats.
9 snips
Mar 25, 2026 • 18min
Are Peace Talks Coming—or Not?
A market-focused rundown covering S&P 500, oil, gold, bonds and recent volatility. Tension between ceasefire rumors and Iran’s public denials gets contrasted with hints of private talks. Discussion of market optimism despite physical military preparations and why investors may still want hedges. Analysis of strategic incentives behind delaying talks and possible diplomatic visits.
7 snips
Mar 24, 2026 • 10min
Why US–Iran Talks Matter for Oil Prices
Discussion of how reported US–Iran ceasefire talks could reshape oil markets and global trade. Breakdown of possible deal terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear curtailments. Exploration of verification doubts, regional influence shifts, and how troop movements or Strait access would affect prices.
12 snips
Mar 23, 2026 • 38min
The Oil Market Disconnect
They dig into a big disconnect between physical oil shortages and much lower paper-market prices. They discuss how energy shortfalls could spill into fertilizers, food and other industrial inputs. They analyze Iran's negotiating posture, public demands and leverage. They debate whether markets are being manipulated and point to trading opportunities from these dislocations.
13 snips
Mar 20, 2026 • 35min
This Market Feels Off
They dissect how recent geopolitical shocks are shaping oil prices and investor mood. Discussion covers buying opportunities in energy names and why technicals may not apply in macro crises. They warn of fuel and jet fuel shortages, debate strategic reserve refilling, and consider bond yields and credit stress as the next market pressure points.
Mar 19, 2026 • 23min
Escalation Domination
A fast-paced breakdown of how escalating geopolitical tensions are reshaping markets and energy flows. Covers strikes on gas infrastructure and the risks to diesel supplies that can ripple through industry. Discusses shifting oil curves, potential rationing and plant shutdowns, and how Gulf investment commitments and US fiscal pressures could be affected.
9 snips
Mar 18, 2026 • 19min
Is Inflation About to Spike Again?
A deep dive into how geopolitical tensions and attacks on energy infrastructure could push oil prices and markets. Discussion of widening WTI–Brent spreads and the risk of export controls. Analysis of hot producer price prints and signs that inflation may inflect higher. Coverage of fiscal stress in Gulf states, potential asset sales, and looming food and fertilizer price pressures.
9 snips
Mar 17, 2026 • 21min
The Oil Story Investors Need to Watch
A deep dive into oil market mechanics, from Brent-WTI spreads to global supply flows. Discussion of physical shortages, chokepoint risks and how Strait throughput affects tanker availability. Scenarios for escalation, Iran’s leverage, and potential price spikes. Examination of hedging costs, rising options premiums, and mismatches between market pricing and real-world risks.
22 snips
Mar 16, 2026 • 51min
Oil Researcher Rory Johnston Explains the Market
Rory Johnston, oil market researcher and founder of CommodityContext.com, explains the current oil market and his data-driven approach. He covers why markets seem confused after shocks. He walks through production shut-ins and slow recovery. He contrasts crude and refined product dislocations. He outlines risks from pipelines, export curbs, and physical vs paper market divergence.
