Know Your Risk Podcast This Market Feels Off
13 snips
Mar 20, 2026 They dissect how recent geopolitical shocks are shaping oil prices and investor mood. Discussion covers buying opportunities in energy names and why technicals may not apply in macro crises. They warn of fuel and jet fuel shortages, debate strategic reserve refilling, and consider bond yields and credit stress as the next market pressure points.
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Recording From A Puerto Vallarta Hotel During The Crisis
- Zach recorded from a hotel during a delayed anniversary trip to Puerto Vallarta that hit during the crisis.
- He contrasted travel timing with global energy disruption and joked it's not the place you'd want to be now.
Throw Out Oil Technicals During Geopolitical Shock
- Ignore technical charts on oil during a macro-driven, geopolitical shock because they won't capture the event dynamics.
- Zach joked to 'make a paper airplane' out of technicals and focus on macro fundamentals instead.
Iran's Will To Hold The Strait Is The Key Variable
- The critical political variable is Iran's willingness to keep the Strait closed and how long they'll hold that leverage.
- Chase and Zach emphasize that Iran's refusal to negotiate and its strategic cards (missiles/drones) matter more than political rhetoric.