Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

This week in sports betting was complete chaos, and the crew breaks it all down. From Tiger Woods making headlines again after a DUI arrest while talking about a return for The Masters, to a bizarre UFC controversy where the wrong winner was announced, creating a window for a prediction market bettor to cash in at massive odds. Plus, a deep dive into the growing conversation around microbetting, with DraftKings launching new features tied to historical at-bats and the NFL’s involvement in a lawsuit raising bigger questions about where this is all headed. Jacob, Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Kirk Evans react to all the biggest stories from the week, mixing sharp analysis with unfiltered opinions on the state of sports betting. From industry drama to viral moments, this is Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Kirk- https://x.com/KirkEvans0 🔵 Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg17 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, Geoff Fienberg and Jacob Gramegna 1:07 - Tiger Woods DUI 16:57 - UFC announces the wrong winner... bettor pounces 26:21 - Microbetting lawsuit + DraftKings Replay 38:12 - Reading your comments 42:46 - Jeff Nadu and Rico Bosco on Men of Honor 52:58 - Wiley77 exposed? 1:04:13 - Chopping Block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Isaac Rose-Berman, sharp bettor known for probabilistic thinking and market modeling, joins to tackle AI-picked questions. They debate overconfidence vs underconfidence. They dig into psychology, where semi-sharps go wrong, edges that scale, markets likely to stay inefficient, and what it really takes to become and remain a winner.

Most sports bettors don’t even realize they’re being scammed. In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola breaks down the Top 5 biggest scams in the sports betting industry — and how you can avoid falling into these traps. From fake “guaranteed wins” to misleading betting services and shady bankroll strategies, these are the tactics that cost bettors thousands over time. If you’re serious about improving as a bettor, you NEED to understand what to avoid just as much as what to do. This isn’t theory — these are real scams happening right now in sports betting. 🔥 In this video: • The most common sports betting scams • How betting “experts” actually mislead you • Red flags to watch for before you lose money • How sharp bettors protect themselves • What legit betting advice actually looks like Whether you’re new to sports betting or already betting regularly, this video will help you avoid costly mistakes and think more critically about the information you consume. 🎯 Subscribe for more sharp sports betting insight, strategy, and industry breakdowns. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Isaac - https://x.com/roundrobin42 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - The biggest scams in sports betting 1:44 - Number 5 3:40 - Number 4 5:20 - Number 3 7:52 - Number 2 9:46 - Number 1, Layer 1 12:41 - Number 1, Layer 2 15:49 - The questions you need to ask #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #SportsBettingStrategy #ProBettor #CirclesOff Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The crew breaks down the discourse around March Madness this year, with many fans pointing out the lack of upsets, buzzer beaters, and overall chaos that typically defines the tournament. With favorites dominating early, the panel dives into whether something feels off and explores the growing belief that NIL has fundamentally changed the landscape of college basketball and the tournament’s unpredictability. Later, the conversation shifts to the controversy surrounding MLB’s new partnership with Polymarket and what it could mean for the future of sports betting and league involvement. To close things out, the crew lightens things up by sharing and reacting to some of their all-time favorite tweets, bringing a different energy to end the show. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and special guest Jason Cooper of The Hammer Daily filling in. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Kirk- https://x.com/KirkEvans0 🔵 Follow Jason - https://x.com/TakesByJ 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper, Kirk Evans and Jacob Gramegna 3:27 - Does March Madness suck now? 38:09 - MLB forms partnership with Polymarket 46:45 - Should these cappers have a 100% win rate 50:55 - NFL vs. Flag Football 1:05:41 - Reading your comments 1:15:45 - Chopping block 1:13:25 - Best tweets of all time Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Isaac Rose-Berman, sharp bettor and responsible-gambling advocate, brings no-nonsense, experience-based perspectives. He and the crew dig into player props vs team bets, parlays and where real edges hide. They question flashy get-rich claims and unpack bankroll, limits, and prediction markets in short, pointed takes.

Jason Cooper, host of The Hammer Daily and fill-in panelist on Circle Back, brings sharp, anecdotal betting commentary. The crew dissects national media misunderstandings of sports betting and critiques a high-profile Atlantic betting piece. They also tackle betting content quality on social platforms, reaction culture on gambling Twitter, and whether kids should learn about gambling in today’s landscape.

Isaac Rose-Berman, a sharp tennis bettor who finds micro-edges, explains how a subtle change in tennis balls at Indian Wells revealed a hidden advantage. He recounts spotting the clue, why slower, fluffier balls shifted match dynamics, and how he translated that into markets and parlay strategies. The conversation explores market adjustments, risk sizing, and verifying one-off edges in real time.

They dig into a wildly suspicious UFC betting market and the strange line movement around Michael Johnson vs Drew Dober. The crew explores whether sharp money, bad sportsbook numbers, or leaks drove the drama. They also debate the value of projection systems, the ethics of posting “sharp” lines, and when betting is actually most fun.

Porter (BA Analytics) — data-driven analyst focused on models, CLV, and market structure. Joey Knish — college football bettor known for sharp commentary and strategy. They tear into viral Twitter betting tips. They dissect steam-fading myths, bankroll withdrawal advice, CLV debates, market timing limits, and pricing glitches. Quick, sharp takes on why those hot takes often mislead bettors.

A deep dive into how to price a season-long perfect game prop using probability math. Short lessons on converting betting lines to implied odds and building a two-part framework of chances versus conversion. Historical frequency of near-perfect games and how small conversion rates drive season probabilities. Stress-tests of bullish scenarios and guidance for more disciplined market pricing.