UK Property Market Stats Show - Week 5 2026 - Ep.2474

Feb 13, 2026

Alice Bullard, Managing Director at Nested and estate agency expert, offers sharp industry perspective on listings, pricing and vendor management. She and Christopher highlight strong new-listings and sales trends. They dig into price reductions, the large listing-to-sale gap, high withdrawal rates, and how local data and pound-per-square-foot analysis can win instructions.

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INSIGHT

Fall-Through Rates Are Slightly Lower

Fall-throughs ran at ~21.5% recently, a touch below long-term averages, suggesting slightly firmer completions.
Watkin and Bullard hypothesise reasons such as motivated buyers or laxer lending, but call it a small change.

ADVICE

Use Local Conversion Stats As Selling Points

Track your local withdrawal vs exchange percentages and use them to show sellers your superior conversion rates.
Present internal performance numbers in the living room to win instructions against competitors.

ANECDOTE

Insight Tool Demo And Value Claim

Christopher demonstrates the Insight platform as a powerful tool to analyse local agent performance and market data.
He notes the tool's low cost compared to its value and that he receives free access for the show.

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UK Property Market Update The headlines for the 5th week of the 2026 UK Property Market (week ending Sun 8th February 2026) 🟩 Listings - Strong 170k new properties have come onto the market YTD , 1% ahead of 2025, 12% above 2024, and 24% higher than the 2017–19 average. 🟩 Gross Sales - Strong 114k UK homes sold STC YTD , 15% higher than 2024 and 23% above pre Covid norms. 🟩 Net Sales - Strong 87k UK net home sales YTD (Gross sales less Fall Thrus) running 15% ahead of 2024, 33% ahead of 2023 and 19% above the 2017–19 average. 🟩 Overvaluing - Awful 47% of the homes that left UK Estate Agents books in January were withdrawn unsold. Main cause - blatant overvaluing supported by long sole agency agreements of 20+ weeks. ✅ The YouTube Show The YouTube ‘UK Property Market Stats Show’ for the week ending Sunday 8th February 2026 (week 5) with the brilliant Alice Bullard of Nested https://youtu.be/E3iv-jQ8u2o Detailed Breakdown … ✅ New Listings • 36.9k new properties came onto market this week in week 5, up from 36.6k last week. • 2025 weekly average: 30.6k. • 10-year week 5 average : 33.4k ✅ Price Reductions • 21k reductions this week • 12.2% of resi homes for sale were reduced in January. Jan 25 - 12.8%. Jan 24 - 11.1% • 2025 average was 12.8%, versus the 5-year long-term average of 10.74%. ✅ Sales Agreed • 25.4k homes sold stc this week 5, slightly down as expected from 26k last week. • Week 5 average (for last 10 years) : 24.8k • 2026 weekly average : 22.2k. ✅ Price Difference between Listings & Sales • 19.7% difference (long term 10 year average is 16% to 17%). (£425k ave Listing Ave Asking price vs £366k Sale Agreed ave Asking price) ✅ Sell-Through Rate • 13.6% of homes on agents’ books went SSTC in January ’26. (Jan ’25 - 15% / Jan ’24 - 13.9%) • Pre-Covid average: 15.5%. ✅ Fall-Throughs • 5,468 fall-throughs last week (pipeline of 423k home Sold STC). • Weekly average for 2025: 6,100. • Fall-through rate: 21.5%, slightly up from 20.5% last week. • Long-term average: 24.2% (post-Truss chaos saw levels exceed 40%). ✅ Net Sales • 20k Net sales, down slightly from 20.7k last week • Ten-year Week 5 average: 19.7k. • Weekly average for 2026: 17.4k. • Weekly average for the whole of 2025: 19.2k. ✅ Probability of Selling (% that Exchange vs withdrawal) • Jan ’26 Stats : 53% of homes that left agents’ books exchanged & completed in Jan. (Note this figure will change throughout the month as more Feb stats come in). • December 60.2% / November 55.2% / October 53.3% / September: 53.1% / August :55.8% / July: 50.9% / June: 51.3% / May: 51.7% / April: 53.2%. • Jan 25: 54.3% / Jan 24: 50.7% / Jan 23: 54.4% / Jan 22: 68.6% ✅ Stock Levels • 663k homes on the market on the 1st of February ’26. (660k - Jan 25) • 422k homes in agent’s sales pipeline on the 1st Feb 2026, slightly lower than 12 months ago on 1st Feb ’25 (433k). ✅ House Prices (£/sq.ft) • January ’26 agreed sales averaged £340.73 per sq.ft. 0.63% higher than 12 months ago (£338.59) and 16% than 5 years ago (£293.54). The £/sqft at sale agreed matches the HM Land Registry Index with a 98% accuracy, 5 months in advance. That is why it is so important. ✅ Local Focus Ashford (Kent)