Michael Covel's Trend Following

My guest today is Jerry Parker, an original Turtle, trained by Richard Dennis. However, since then he has very successfully run a managed money firm called Chesapeake Capital. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Mean reversion trading What the definition of momentum trading is compared to trend following Why "good enough" is more rigorous than any metric How the intervention of the Fed has broken up trends and made volatility drop in markets How the idea of uncertainty and talking in probabilities makes people uncomfortable The difference between managed futures and trend following Why buy and hold is predicated on trust of the Fed Why trend followers don't look to "beat" the market Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Walter Williams, an American economist, commentator, and academic. He is the John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, as well as a syndicated columnist and author known for his libertarian views. The topics are liberty and economics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why Williams calls himself a radical The morality of markets The welfare state and bailouts How Williams didn't "think poor" growing up The nefarious aspect of minimum wage How Williams stayed positive and avoided bitterness despite opposition Malcolm X. and Martin Luther King, Jr. Why there's no poverty in the United States How Williams felt about the Fall of 2008 and the bailouts that took place How we got to the point where people want to trust the state so much How Williams has developed a thick skin to deal with the criticism of his radical nature Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is John Mauldin, a noted financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, a pioneering online commentator, and the publisher of one of the most widely read investment newsletters in the world. The topic is finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Credit card rates and zero interest rate policy The improper use of credit Debt spirals Central bank policies that keep whipsaw periods going The actions in Japan and how they can spread across the world The justifications that Mauldin sees behind the scenes Black swans and boom-bust periods How the 2008 financial crisis wasn't a true black swan event The "why" behind zero interest rate policy The specter of Keynesianism over the world Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, the Chairman of the multi-strategy quantitative hedge fund Capital Fund Management (5B+ AUM) and co-supervisor of the research team. He is a well known authority in the field of Econophysics, co-author of "Theory of Financial Risks and Derivative Pricing", a Professor of École Polytechnique where he teaches Complex Systems and has his Ph.D in theoretical physics from École Normale Supérieure. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Bouchaud's physics background and how it collided with the world of classical economics The Black-Scholes model, and its still use; experimenting with simulation Bouchaud and his colleague's paper, "Two Centuries of Trend Following" The efficient market hypothesis Why the existence of trends is one of the most statistically significant anomalies in financial markets How trends predate trend following Why classical economics has no framework through which to understand "wild markets" Benign randomness vs. wild randomness Accepting uncertainty Differences between physicists and economists Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Nir Eyal, an educator, author, and entrepreneur who is all about connecting psychology, technology, and business. The topic is his book Hooked: How To Build Habit Forming Products. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How behavior and habits can be engineered, and how technology changes our behavior The moral implications of habit forming activities The difference between habits and addictions Breaking "the hook" The four areas that "the hook" goes through: trigger, action, variable reward, and investment The IKEA example and how value can be built Eyal's mentors and influences The importance of social feedback from your community The WhatsApp deal, and how to deal with your "insane jealousy" of the messaging app deal Getting equal pay for equal work, and how that might be embedded in our DNA The importance of interface changes when it comes to revolutionary changes in technology Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Brett Steenbarger, a Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY Upstate Medical University in Syracuse, NY. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: What a "flow state" is, and why it's important How Steenbarger has seen flow connect to the trading world, and the importance of matching your level of difficulty and challenge Risk and risk tolerance The logical and psychological sides to risk "What have you done for me lately" attitude for investors Why we don't grow if we stay within our comfort zones Process vs. outcome The psychological burden of certain fee structures Some of the common characteristics of successful traders Slow thinking, deep thinking, and fast thinking Where we're headed regarding prescription drugs related to the mind Trend trading vs. mean reversion Contextualism Trend following vs. momentum trading How people actually behave vs. how they describe their behavior Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guests today are Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman. Hite is a hedge fund manager and is one of the forefathers of system trading. He was famously featured in the Market Wizards book. A few years ago he started ISAM with Stanley Fink. Greyserman has 25 years of experience in the CTA industry, and was originally hired by Larry Hite at Mint. Greyserman is Chief Scientist at ISAM (PhD in Statistics). He is also a professor at Columbia University. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Singapore, and Covel's recent excursions in Asia How the game has stayed the same despite zero interest rate policy What people are missing when they say "trend following is dead" How you'll never get perfection Their 800 year study, the premise, and what was found out Measuring human nature The difference between divergent and convergent strategies Risk management Having "perfect" knowledge Using long trends and getting whipsawed in shorter trends The asset class of trend following compared to the NASDAQ buy and hold, etc. What's changed about human nature through all the booms and busts Insurance, hedging your risk, and the risk transference process Asymmetrical leverage Adjusting to new environments How those that survive are the most adaptable to the environment How trend following automatically adjusts to what's happening Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Sharon Moalem, a physician and author. Moalem's previous book, "Survival Of The Sickest", was a New York Times bestseller. The topic is his book Inheritance: How Our Genes Change Our Lives, and Our Lives Change Our Genes. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Rafael Nadal as an example of digging deep in genetics How our bodies are constantly in a state of deconstruction and reconstruction How DNA is under constant modification Genetic personalized medicine "Jeff the chef" and an example of specific dietary needs Dysmorphology and analyzing the hands, feet, and face of an individual Gregor Mendel and his pea experiments in genetics How your behavior can dictate your genetic destiny The future of personalized genetic medicine Critics and misunderstandings of genetics Vitamins on an individual basis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Robin Hanson, an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University. The topic is outside the box economic perspectives. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Prediction markets Vernon Smith and coming up with the "why" for booms and busts Dealing with a complex world based on our limited abilities Steering towards humanity's future Hanson's physics background, and how he came to where prediction markets became a passion How prediction markets can make us pay more attention to the truth Hayek and Mises, and some of their thinking early on What taboos and idealogical beliefs might stop one from making optimal decisions If people have employed particular trading strategies to the prediction markets Stop losses as information and as risk preference Setting up a market to bet on geopolitical events in the Middle East, and the controversy based around that Why DC politicians often cannot handle the research Hanson does Why Hanson has elected to have his head cryonically preserved after medical death based on a cost-benefit analysis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!