Michael Covel's Trend Following

My guest today is Harry Markowitz, the third Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Markowitz is an American economist who received the 1989 John von Neumann Theory Prize and the 1990 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. Markowitz is a professor of finance at the Rady School of Management at the University of California, San Diego. The topic is modern finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Justin Fox and "The Myth Of The Rational Market" Markowitz's beginnings, and the Nobel Prize Markowitz's 1952 paper How Markowitz felt about some of his prescriptions and ideas being interpreted into dogma Why Wall Street was not interested in Markowitz's theories at one time Diversification for the right reason Markowitz's new four-volume book Advice on maintaining mental acuity at an advanced age and sounding like you're 35 when you're 86 years young Markowitz's attraction to the philosopher Hume If it was fifty years later, if Markowitz would be a quant running a hedge fund today Markowitz's legacy On being comfortable vs. being rich The leveraged long-only hedge fund industry and being coaxed into putting your money into these institutions Long Term Capital Management and portfolio theory Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ryan Holiday, director of marketing for American Apparel; media strategist for Tucker Max, Dov Charney, and others. The topic is his book The Obstacle Is the Way: The Timeless Art of Turning Trials into Triumph. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Marcus Aurelius' philosophy and stoicism, and why it has such a hold on Holiday Distraction Why the impediment to action actually advances action The unpredictability of the world, and how we react to the world George Clooney, and his start as an actor related to the obstacles we all face Steve Jobs' reality distortion field What drives Holiday today How will is the ultimate trump card The two definitions of will Alabama Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban and his approach to the moment of now Feeling great about the fight, the adversity, and the challenge How the process is intrinsically valuable Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Larry Doyle, a former JP Morgan banker. Larry embarked on his Wall Street career in 1983 as a mortgage-backed securities trader for The First Boston Corporation, and was involved in the growth and development of the secondary mortgage market from its near infancy. The topic is his book In Bed with Wall Street: How Bankers, Regulators and Politicians Conspire to Cripple Our Global Economy. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Doyle's background and why he put "In Bed With Wall Street" together Madoff, and what was missed from a regulatory perspective KYC, or "knowing your customer" MF Global, Jon Corzine, and touching customer funds Dodd Frank and the supposed fixes to the 2008 financial crisis, and why Dodd Frank was more of an architectual blueprint rather than a completed piece of legislation Regulatory reforms to help fix the problems created in the 2008 financial crisis Informing the general public of the problems surrounding Wall Street today The "bribe" of equity markets at all-time highs; manipulation of the markets Why Tim Geithner said "we saved the economy, but we lost the country" If a crash is the only thing that will bring about change Why the banks must be broken up What would have happened if Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had failed Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tucker Max, an American author and public speaker. He chronicles his drinking and sexual encounters in the form of short stories on his website TuckerMax.com, which has received millions of visitors since Max launched it as the result of a bet in 2000. The topic is success. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel and Max talk about their first meeting, and Max's brutally honest advice to Covel Diet and nutrition The NCAA, college athletics, exploitation, the media, and having to 'beat' the system Marginal cost and marginal product Entrepreneurial thinking and Max's early career Max's experience in marketing Protecting your independence Christopher Hitchens Facing rejection in publishing, and how rejection is part of success How success only teaches you to repeat what you did before, and failure forces you to think What drives Max today How the landscape has changed in regards to authors The fight for authority and trust in the publishing world What motivates Tucker Max today--the quality of relationships you have with other people, and what you do that matters to others Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Two Centuries of Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Mark Minervini, a technical analyst, acclaimed author, instructor, and independent trader. He has over 30 years of experience in finance, and was featured in Jack Schwager's Stock Market Wizards; Conversations with America's Top Stock Traders. The topic is his book Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard: How to Achieve Super Performance in Stocks in Any Market. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Importance of influences outside of the finance world Minervini's atypical background in music and how he got to where he is today Capturing 'super performance' and the trend The importance of cutting your losers short How Minervini spends his day Richard Love and 'super performance' stocks Why Minervini is not a fan of diversification beyond the minimum amount that you can get away with Richard Donchian, Jesse Livermore and their influence on Minervini Timeless strategies Paul Tudor Jones and 'losers average losers' The importance of not just trading what you know 'New high ground' and not being afraid of buying higher highs Risk management and bet sizing The biggest areas where new traders often start off on the wrong foot Howard Lederer and poker players as an analogy to traders Why you shouldn't even turn on the television as a stock trader Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: If Adams views himself as a trend following trader Why the word futures can be problematic Broad diversification and diversifying on a number of different tiers Risk-based diversification Why making sure you're in the game is the most important factor Why every business is seasonal Why price is the most important aspect to a trade How Adams has (or doesn't have) the "expertise" to trade certain markets Informing your system of various events as a quantitative or systematic trader Thinking about Adams' strategy in the context of evolution Core baskets vs. satellite baskets The adaptive aspect of what Adams does The philosophical and operational aspects of volatility Average true range as a volatility measure Trading to make a return vs. trading as an economist Adams' greatest areas of challenge and frustration Michael Lewis and whether the markets are "rigged" Execution strategy Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Vocabulary of The Media with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Justin Fox, an American financial journalist, commentator, and writer born in Morristown, New Jersey. He is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former editorial director of the Harvard Business Review Group and business and economics columnist for Time magazine. The topic is his book The Myth Of The Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Harry Markowitz, Bayesian statistics, and making smart decisions in an uncertain world using quantitative tools Stocks, beta, and the importance of making useful predictions Commodities Corporation and trend following trading in the early 1970's Why a market in which everyone was rationally anticipating the future would be a random market Amos Hostetter How the behavioral mindset started to unfold in the 1970's Eugene Fama and the efficient market hypothesis The Capital Asset Pricing Model Why well-designed markets and well-informed investors are prone to manias and panics Individuals making errors vs. the group getting it right Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Whipsaw Guy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!