Radio National Breakfast

Kelly Grieco, senior fellow at the Stimson Centre who studies US defense and drone warfare, breaks down Iran's military picture. She outlines estimates of missiles and launchers. She discusses Iran's operational flexibility, changing attack tempo, drone production and replenishment, and specific threats around the Strait of Hormuz.

Kira Rudik, Ukrainian MP and leader of the Holos party, speaks on Ukraine’s security amid shifting global conflicts. She discusses how the Middle East fighting diverts weapons and attention away from Ukraine. She addresses risks if US guarantees are conditional and warns about the consequences of pressured territorial concessions.

Aaron David Miller, former US Middle East negotiator and Carnegie fellow, breaks down why Trump's 15-point ceasefire plan faltered. He explains the US military buildup and Iran's asymmetric maritime strengths. He outlines current backchannels and what real negotiations would require. Short, clear takes on diplomacy, deterrence and the limits of ultimata.

For years, Anthony Venn-Brown sought solace in his Pentecostal faith — preaching sermons in mega-churches around the country.But Anthony hid a struggle with his sexuality, suffering through exorcisms and conversion therapy to correct what he thought was wrong.After 22 years he resigned from the ministry to live openly as a gay man, becoming a support for other therapy survivors and an advocate for outlawing conversion practices.Guest: Anthony Venn-Brown, founder and CEO of Ambassadors and Bridge Builders International (ABBI)

The price of oil remains around a hundred dollars a barrel as the middle east conflict continues.It comes after US President Donald Trump backed down on his 48-hour threat to "obliterate" Iran's energy facilities — if Iran didn't allow ships through the Strait of Hormuz.Guest: Edward Fishman is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Maurice R Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of 'Chokepoints: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare'.Producer: Pip Cook, Grace Stranger

The energy shock triggered by the war in Iran has exposed the vulnerability of Asia's oil and gas supply chains and reshaping everyday life for many in the region.About 80 per cent of crude oil and oil products shipped through the Strait of Hormuz are destined for Asia - and nearly 90 per cent of all liquefied natural gas.

The federal government is celebrating a new free trade agreement with the European Union - after almost a decade of protracted negotiations.GUEST: Don Farrell, Minister for Trade and Tourism PRODUCER: Isadora Bogle

Australian red meat exporters are feeling short changed in the newly inked free trade agreement between Australia and the European Union.The additional 30,600 tonnes of beef that will be allowed to enter the EU falls short of the 50,000-tonne quota exporters were calling for.So, what do EU farmers on the other side of the world make of the deal?Guest: Séamus Boland, President of the European Economic and Social Committee Producer: Brooke Young 

The federal and Queensland government have announced two billion dollars in taxpayer subsidies to secure the long-term future  of Rio Tinto's Boyne aluminium smelter in Gladstone on Queensland's central coast.GUEST: Matt Burnett, Mayor of Gladstone Regional Council

Australia's long-awaited trade deal with the European Union is being hailed by the Prime Minister as a major economic win.But the response from the agriculture sector - particularly the red meat industry - is far less optimistic, with some industry leaders labelling it the "worst-ever free trade agreement". GUEST: Hamish McIntyre, National Farmers Federation PresidentPRODUCER: Brooke Young