Moving Markets

Market sentiment has shifted towards optimism once again, with the US dollar gaining strength as concerns over President Trump's potential interference with the Federal Reserve's independence have eased. A two-day stock market rally has been fuelled by hopes that the US-China trade tensions will not intensify further. Meanwhile, recent data suggests that the economy may be heading towards a stagflationary environment in the coming months. Joining us to share his insights on the volatile gold market is Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing00:24 Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing06:20 Gold: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research10:02 Closing remarks:  Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks jumped and the dollar edged up as the Trump administration defused some of the tension that had rattled financial markets in recent sessions. President Donald Trump said yesterday that he does not intend to fire Fed Chair Jay Powell, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told investors that the US-China trade dispute is unsustainable and that a deal will be made. This came as the International Monetary Fund slashed their global growth forecasts, with widespread downgrades after the US tariff announcements. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, shares his views on what to expect from the ECB and the Fed in terms of monetary policy in this environment and what it means for the economy.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing00:34 Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing06:38 Comments on ECB, US recession risks, Fed: David Kohl, Chief Economist12:38 Closing remarks:  Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Market uncertainty has taken hold, with the US dollar hitting 15-month lows, stocks plummeting – including the Nasdaq, which has entered bear market territory – and credit spreads spiking. In contrast, Asian markets remain relatively resilient, while gold and digital assets rally. To make sense of these trends, we're joined by two expert guests: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research. Together, we delve into the latest news across financial markets and explore what's driving investor sentiment.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing00:31 Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing05:55 Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy09:57 Bitcoin and gold: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research13:32 Closing remarks:  Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Technology stocks were weak, with Nvidia shares down 7% following the imposition of export restrictions to China and other countries. In a speech in Chicago, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell discussed the potential dilemma of balancing inflation control with economic growth and indicated a cautious monetary approach. The European Central Bank is expected to cut its deposit rate by 25 basis points today. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, talks about all things commodities, from the fading US dominance in energy markets to gold reaching new all-time highs. Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, talks about the investment implications of the increased likelihood of a US recession.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:28 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)06:03 Commodities update by Norbert Rücker (Head of Economics & Next Generation Research)11:17 Update from the CIO Office by Nicolas Jordan (CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis)15:39,5 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player. 

The ongoing tariff saga remains the dominant theme, with investors waiting to see if tensions will ease or escalate. This uncertainty is taking a toll on consumer sentiment and investor expectations. Following recent volatility, markets were relatively calm yesterday, with European bourses ending the day in positive territory, while US stocks closed marginally in the red. However, in after-hours trading, Nvidia’s shares plummeted by over 6% after the company faced new restrictions on its exports to China. Both the US dollar and US Treasury yields stabilised somewhat. In overnight trading in Asia, most markets fell, despite China releasing robust economic data. One notable exception was gold, which continued its upward trajectory. To provide further insights into the equity markets, particularly banking stocks, we are joined today by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy.00:00 Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing00:24 Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing07:39 Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy11:52 Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are showing signs of stabilisation as the US administration appears to be reconsidering its tariff policy. This has boosted auto stocks in particular, driven by reports that President Trump may modify the tariff package for auto-related imports from Mexico and Canada. Additionally, US Treasury yields have decreased following their sharpest increase in twenty years last week. Joining us to discuss the latest on digital assets is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing01:05 Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing07:29 Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research12:52 Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global financial markets experienced a tumultuous week, with safe-haven assets surging, and the US dollar and Treasury bonds posting sharp declines, raising concerns about the future of US economic dominance and global trade stability. As the escalating trade war with China continues to unfold, investors are bracing for another volatile week, in which the European Central Bank meeting takes place and the corporate earnings season gets underway. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, also joins the show and shares his outlook for markets from a technical perspective.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:31 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment Writing)06:45 Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)09:55 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European markets played catch-up with Wednesday’s US rally yesterday, with nearly all sectors posting significant gains. However, when US markets opened, risk appetite appeared to evaporate on Wall Street, as stocks fell despite subdued inflation data. There was some brief respite for Treasuries but they then resumed their sell-off from earlier in the week, sparking concerns among many about the health of the financial system. Asian markets delivered mixed performance overnight, but gold reached yet another record high. In this episode, we are joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX and Precious Metals Solutions in Geneva, who shares his expertise on the latest developments in foreign exchange and metals, offering valuable insights into these markets.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:28 Markets wrap-up by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)05:49 FX and metals by Tim Gagie (Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva)10:25 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player. 

Following President Trump’s ‘pause’ announcement yesterday, US And Asian equity indices experienced a relief rally of historic proportions. The punitive tariffs imposed on dozens of countries have now been swapped for a universal 10% rate, but only for 90 days. It remains to be seen whether this rally can be sustained or if it is merely a dead-cat bounce: US futures are pointing to a lower open this afternoon. Gold and oil have not been immune to some puzzling price moves in the past few weeks too, so it was great to have Carsten Menke and Norbert Rücker on the podcast to provide their insights into what might be behind these.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:31 Markets wrap-up by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)05:54 Oil: Norbert Rücker (Head of Economics & Next Generation Research)09:01 Gold: Carsten Menke (Head of Next Generation Research)12:26 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The global trade war intensifies as the Trump Tariffs come into effect. Equities continue to decline for the fourth consecutive day, threatening to push the S&P 500 into bear market territory, as investors seek safe havens. Meanwhile, Treasuries, once considered the world's ultimate safe haven, remain under pressure as investors appear to be losing confidence in the US. To gain more insight into the bond market's reaction, we spoke with Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who discusses the implications for investors' positioning in more detail.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:27 Markets wrap-up by Jan Bopp (Investment Writing)05:49 Bond market latest: Dario Messi (Head of Fixed Income Research)10:44 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.