Sub Club by RevenueCat

Stop Celebrating Conversion Wins Before Checking Renewals – Sara Grana, Yousician

12 snips
Feb 28, 2026
Sara Grana, Revenue Strategy Lead at Yousician who specializes in subscription revenue and experimentation. She talks about why you need an experiment log to link revenue shifts to decisions. She warns that refunds and chargebacks can erase apparent paywall wins. She explains why stacked A/B test wins often fail to compound into real growth.
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ADVICE

Log Experiments Against Revenue Buckets

  • Keep a centralized experiment and decision log tied to revenue buckets.
  • Track new subscriber, upgrade, renewal, and comeback revenue in a spreadsheet and link experiments or product changes to spikes for quick root-cause analysis.
INSIGHT

Early Wins Can Hide Refund And Renewal Losses

  • Early-funnel conversion wins can mask downstream losses if you don't wait for cohorts to mature.
  • Refunds and chargebacks can immediately eat apparent paywall wins, so monitor those alongside conversion lifts.
ADVICE

Include Refunds And Chargebacks In Paywall Metrics

  • Always include refunds and chargebacks in paywall experiment metrics.
  • Wait a few weeks to observe immediate refund/chargeback behavior after an offer or paywall change to avoid false-positive wins.
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