Choiceology with Katy Milkman

The Algorithm Advantage

33 snips
Mar 23, 2026
Jennifer Logg, a Georgetown professor researching how people respond to algorithmic advice, and Dean Oliver, an ESPN data scientist who helped pioneer NBA analytics, join the conversation. They discuss the Celtics’ analytics-driven rebuild and how algorithms can outperform human judgment in prediction tasks. The show also explores when to trust machine guidance and the risks of biased or incomplete data.
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ANECDOTE

Celtics Rebuild Fueled By Analytics

  • The 2007–08 Boston Celtics rebuilt by leaning on analytics instead of pure scouting intuition.
  • Mike Zarin's predictive player model identified undervalued players like Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen, enabling the Big Three formation that led to a championship.
INSIGHT

Analytics Reshaped NBA Strategy

  • Algorithms changed NBA strategy by revealing undervalued plays like three-point emphasis and defensive switching.
  • Teams shifted tactics leaguewide after analytics showed consistent long-term advantages that scouts' highlight-focused views missed.
INSIGHT

People Prefer Algorithmic Advice Over Human Advice

  • Jennifer Logg's research shows people incorporate more advice when it's labeled as coming from an algorithm than when identical advice is labeled human.
  • In prediction tasks participants updated their initial answers more after algorithm-labeled advice, a pattern dubbed algorithm appreciation.
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