Lead-Lag Live

Fundamental analysis expert Brad Freeman shares his journey into investing, debunks myths about free cash flow multiples, discusses mark-to-market equity valuation gains, illuminates the earnings cycle and FOMO, and explains his strategy on position sizing and conviction levels in stock investing.

Join me, your host, as we navigate the thrilling realm of trading strategies and market conditions alongside seasoned trader, Jack Tacher. With a decade of trading expertise under his belt, Jack shares his hard-earned wisdom, discussing everything from the power of dollar-cost averaging to the art and science of technical and fundamental analysis. Tap into his candid reflections on the turbulent seas of trading and his biggest trading mistake, proving it's not about how many times you fall, but how quickly you rise back up.In our second segment, strap in as we delve deep into the heart of the current market, dissecting the intricate dance of price action and sentiment in trading. Hear us discuss the struggles of small caps attempting to carve their own path, whilst shedding light on the imperative of adapting to the ever-evolving market conditions. We'll also be exploring the art of trend-spotting and providing insights on how to strategically limit risk while trading individual stocks. As we round up our riveting conversation, we'll be breaking down the complex correlation between the US dollar and commodities, and what this means for you, the trader. Jack and I will also be discussing the latent risks associated with trading individual stock names and how to proactively build a safety net for potential downturns. Tune in to our discussion on the power of trend-following and the golden rule of diversifying investments, and arm yourself with strategies to manage risk during the early stages of a trend. Let's take this journey together and crack the code of the trading world.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Got your eyes on the global investment landscape? Tune in as we welcome Ritesh Jain, CIO of a leading Indian asset management company and founder of Pine Tree Macro. He's got a macro view on global investing that's giving businesses a new way to build wealth. Think you know what macro is all about? Ritesh might just change your perspective.Imagine being on the front lines of Canada's economy, where banks are dealing with the effects of an increase in leveraged mortgages. Picture the impact of 2.5 million immigrants on an economy. Ritesh does more than just imagine, he breaks down how these scenarios could influence the Canadian dollar and Bank of Canada in the coming year. Brace yourselves, the conversation takes an exciting detour as we traverse the terrains of India's economic growth and manufacturing expansion. Finally, we delve into the world of infrastructure projects in India and the potential of its stock market. Learn about the benefits of holding gold and the long-term implications of currency depreciation. Ritesh offers up his insights on the financialization in India and how it's revolutionizing access to capital for entrepreneurs. It's a journey across the globe and through different economies, so buckle up and enjoy the ride!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Are you ready to demystify value investing? Brace yourself as we, alongside our seasoned value investor, Rob Arnott, navigate the intricate landscape of value investing and its role during the recent COVID crash. Our insightful discourse will expose you to the allure of value investing, the strategies involved, and the rationale behind the downturn in value relative to growth. Intrigued by the effects of SEC's diversified portfolio rule on ETFs and mutual funds? We dissect this rule, exploring its influence on cap-weighted portfolios and the subsequent impact on the valuation of various sectors and companies. Journey with us as we traverse the dot-com era and the present market and delve into the illusion of big market, particularly concerning the value of electric vehicles. Finally, we turn our focus to the potential impacts of inflation on the financial sector and value style reallocation. Guided by Rob's thought-provoking insights, we unravel the effects of a data-dependent Federal Reserve, the probability of yield curve inversion leading to recessions, and the fascinating link between price-sales ratios and performance. Our contemplation of AI's growth narrative and its potential to replace millions of jobs is sure to leave you on the edge of your seat. So tune in, and get ready for a wealth of insights and riveting discussions!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Prepare to navigate the intriguing world of Japan's market revival and reforms with economist and Asia business and finance editor, Mike Bird. He shares insights on the surge in investor confidence, bolstered by corporate governance reforms led by Shinzo Abe. The ripple effects of international hedge funds like Elliot, and their increased presence in Japan, are also explored. So, buckle up for a deep dive into the economic landscape of Japan and how these reforms are reshaping its markets.From the rally in the Nikkei to the implications of the corporate governance code changes for small-cap companies, we leave no stone unturned. We probe the unique effects of the strong yen on domestic companies and contrast them with the impacts on large caps. We also explore the influence of these market reforms on social issues, such as declining fertility rates. Discover how this demographic change could possibly affect innovation and productivity and the possible interventions by governments to encourage a higher birth rate.We wrap up the conversation with an examination of the potential implications of the Bank of Japan's policy of Yield Curve Control. We discuss the risks associated with Japanese interest rate risk and the effects of higher yields on foreign assets. Join us as we unravel the potential for a credit event sparked by Japan and the crucial role of communication in decisions to drop yield curve control. This engaging discussion promises to leave you with a nuanced understanding of the changing face of Japanese markets.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Are you prepared to navigate the turbulent waters of the current housing market? We think you might not be, but don't fret! Join us in this riveting discussion with Lance Lambert, Real Estate Editor at Fortune Magazine, who dissects the unexpected resilience of the housing market amidst the pandemic and high unemployment. With his keen insight, Lance helps us unpack some critical trends, from the shocking deterioration of housing affordability equivalent to the 2006 peak, to the strategies and adaptability of home builders like DR Horton amidst material cost increases. We also delve into the precarious situation that some renters find themselves in, stretching beyond their financial limits in the face of the current affordability crisis. Lance also shares views from renowned economists like Robert Shiller, who raise an eyebrow at market exuberance and predict a sideways market in the coming months.But that's just the tip of the iceberg. We also take a hard look at the reluctance of institutional buyers to invest in homes due to unfavorable math and cap rates, and evaluate the potential impact of changing state tax policies. Join us as we traverse through the complexities of the current market by comparing it with past trends, and explore the intricate links between consumer sentiment, the stock market, and home values. Tune in and equip yourself with knowledge about the risks of fiscal measures and the vital role of income growth and rate reductions in restoring market affordability, all encapsulated in this thought-provoking episode.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

We're excited to have Francis Hunt, the Market Sniper, on our podcast. He's got an intriguing and unique take on trading, likening it to the strategic selectivity and patience of a sniper. Francis opens up about his military background and how it shaped his efficient approach to the market - making fewer, but more successful trades. He's also a stickler for the Hunt Volatility Funnel principles, a trading system he developed that's all about waiting for the perfect set of circumstances before pulling the trigger.The conversation gets even more interesting when Francis starts to unpack his views on the current market conditions and what he sees as an impending economic collapse. He discusses his outlook on demand destroying events and the end of the Goldilocks economy. His perspective on the manipulative practices of the Federal Reserve over the last four decades and the potential fallout for the American people is alarming and thought-provoking. As if that's not compelling enough, Francis also shares his analysis on gold, silver, bonds, and the dollar. He explains the role of debt markets in keeping governments afloat and makes a bold prediction about the future of the bond market. We wrap up with a discussion about his premium membership group, the Market Sniper, and his strategies for building wealth during abnormal market conditions. This is an episode packed with insights, predictions, and thoughtful strategies you won't want to miss.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Have you ever wondered how an engineer’s mind can crack the code of stock markets? Join us as we engage in a riveting conversation with Tom Viktor, a stellar trader with an engineering background. Through his eyes, we navigate his journey into the volatile world of trading, beginning with simple concepts of support and resistance, and progressing into the profound Elliot Wave theory. From managing a full-time job in the energy sector to making sense of market sentiment, Tom offers valuable insight into the art of balancing professional life and portfolio management.Shifting from personal experiences to market strategies, Tom unveils his unique approach to handling euphoric market sentiment. Rather than placing a directional bet, Tom prefers to stay in cash, providing an enlightening perspective on why being bearish doesn't always mean going short. You'll also get a sneak peek into the conditions that would lure Tom to invest his cash into the market. So, want to decode the tactics of trading in a euphoric market? Tom’s got you covered.Our conversation with Tom does not stop at market sentiments; we also delve into the ever-changing dynamics of the market. Reflecting on how market movements have sped up since his debut in the post-2008 era, Tom shares his insights on the potential impact of this rapid pace on traders. From leveraging Twitter as a financial news source to deciphering market sentiment via financial media, Tom's expert insights serve as a guide to navigating the trading world. We even touch upon the peculiarities of the real estate market and the importance of diversifying one's trading strategies. Tune in, and indulge in a conversation that promises to redefine your understanding of trading, market analysis, and portfolio management.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Dive headfirst into the world of options trading with our esteemed guest Ophir Gottlieb, a veteran in this intricate field of finance. Get ready to understand the guts of options trading, from the basic mathematics to the crucial role of central bank intervention on market volatility. We'll walk you through the major changes in the options market, such as the access to data and the shift in number of strikes and expirations.Ever thought about how current market dynamics, like concentrated mega cap momentum, impact volatility and risk? Ponder on this with us as we unravel the effects of such forces on the trading floor, especially with individual names superseding index type trades. Ghalib will share his insights on how these shifts have reshaped his trading strategies, with a nod towards the significant influences of monetary policy and mega cap momentum.Finally, let's delve into the fascinating realm of artificial intelligence and its impact on market dynamics, with a specific focus on Open AI GPT-4. As you join us in contemplating the potential butterfly effect if a titan like Nvidia were to break, we'll also explore the concept of getting long equities in a high volatility environment. Tune in for a riveting discussion packed with valuable insights for traders of all levels, as we dissect these complex topics and more.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Are you prepared to conquer whipsaw markets like a master? Join us as we demystify the challenges of systematic trading and arm you with effective strategies for weathering the storm. We'll reveal the secret to thriving in both bull and bear markets through trend following. Along the journey, we'll unlock the significance of backtesting, recording statistics, and steadfast adherence to your chosen system, even when the market throws curveballs.Then, we're sailing into the vast sea of market trends and investment strategy, where big players reign supreme. We'll guide you on how to maneuver for outperformance in the face of such dominance. Discover the art of beating the S&P, the importance of relative strength and the necessity of diversification, even when investing in large caps. As we traverse the perilous terrain of shorting and mania in markets, we'll equip you with the knowledge to navigate wisely. Finally, we offer a refreshing detour with an exploration of impromptu live video conversations. Uncover the value of connecting with global minds, following leaders you admire, and the excitement of unscheduled roundtable discussions that could just be the catalyst you need for your next breakthrough. Pack your curiosity and brace yourself for an exhilarating ride through trading terrains and investment landscapes!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show