

Lead-Lag Live
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Lead-Lag Live is your front-row seat to unscripted, real-time conversations with the sharpest minds in finance, economics, and investing.Hosted by Michael A. Gayed, CFA — publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and a widely followed voice on macro strategy — each episode features candid discussions with top portfolio managers, economists, ETF strategists, best-selling authors, and market practitioners. No scripts. No teleprompters. Just raw insight from people who move markets.Every week, we go deep on the themes that matter most: macro trends, interest rates and Fed policy, equity and bond markets, ETF strategies, geopolitical risk, asset allocation, commodities, currencies, and the interplay between risk-on and risk-off positioning.Whether you manage billions or are just getting started, Lead-Lag Live delivers actionable analysis and frameworks you can use — not surface-level market commentary.Originally broadcast live on X Spaces, every conversation is available here as a full-length podcast so you never miss a discussion.Subscribe now and follow @leadlagmedia on X for upcoming live events.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Mar 3, 2026 • 25min
Dollar Decline vs Market Concentration: Henry Greene on Emerging Markets Tech & the Next AI Winners
Henry Greene, investment strategist at KraneShares focused on emerging markets and ETFs. He discusses how a weaker dollar could boost emerging markets tech. He highlights Taiwan and South Korea’s semiconductor strength and China’s AI innovation. He argues for diversification beyond top-heavy U.S. tech and explains how EM tech exposure can capture global AI capex.

Mar 3, 2026 • 18min
Embodied AI in Action: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF & the Physical AI Shift
Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares who focuses on thematic ETFs and emerging tech, talks about the rise of humanoid robotics and embodied AI. He explains why humanoids are hitting an inflection point now. He outlines near-term use cases, the KOID ETF’s ecosystem approach, and even brings a working humanoid on air to demonstrate capabilities in real time.

Mar 3, 2026 • 24min
Truth Is the Battleground: Peter Todd on Ukraine, Information Warfare, and the Epstein Files
Peter Todd, founder of OpenTimestamps and longtime Bitcoin contributor, joins from Kyiv where he supports fundraising, logistics, and cyber-resilience. He discusses cryptographic timestamping to prove digital evidence, how truthful leaks can be turned into information warfare, and the intersection of Bitcoin, geopolitical risk, and verified aid efforts in Ukraine.

Mar 3, 2026 • 18min
The AI Trade Is Global: Derek Yan on Dollar Weakness, EM Tech, and Hidden Concentration Risk
Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares who focuses on emerging market technology and macro trends. He discusses why US mega‑cap concentration may hide parts of the AI supply chain. He highlights EM strengths in semiconductors, memory and packaging. He explains how a softer dollar can boost EM returns and why diversification into EM tech matters.

Feb 24, 2026 • 23min
The AI Trade Is Shifting: Adoption, Infrastructure Risk, and Hidden Concentration in the S&P 500
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down why the AI boom may be entering a new phase and why investors concentrated in infrastructure stocks could be taking more risk than they realize.With nearly half of the S&P 500 tied directly or indirectly to AI infrastructure buildout, Kai explains the dangers of crowded positioning, excessive capital spending, and valuation expansion. Drawing on historical technology cycles from railroads to the internet, he outlines why the biggest long-term winners often aren’t the builders, but the early adopters who use new technology to gain efficiency and market share.We also dive into enterprise adoption rates, proof-of-ROI versus hype-driven AI mentions on earnings calls, and how to distinguish companies generating measurable productivity gains from those simply telling the story.In this episode:– Why the AI cycle may be shifting from buildout to adoption– How only about 10 percent of firms are currently using AI in production– The valuation risk embedded in infrastructure-heavy portfolios– Why early adopters may outperform the AI builders– How advisors can rethink AI exposure without abandoning the themeLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#AI #StockMarket #SP500 #NVDA #TechStocks #TeslaSupport the show

Feb 23, 2026 • 19min
Rotation vs Concentration: Michael Germano on Cyclicals, Commodities, and the AI Risk Trade
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Michael Germano, Founder and Wealth Manager at Key Sage Wealth, to discuss whether markets are entering a major rotation after years of mega-cap tech dominance.From signs of mean reversion and passive-driven distortions to the case for a commodity supercycle and a weakening U.S. dollar, Germano explains why investors may want to rethink concentration risk and reassess exposure to AI-driven valuations.In this episode:– Why mega-cap tech may be “long in the tooth”– How passive flows have created market inefficiencies– The case for a structural commodity supercycle– What a weaker dollar means for portfolios– How wealthy investors compound capital using lending strategiesLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#MarketRotation #Commodities #AI #AssetAllocation #WealthManagementSupport the show

Feb 17, 2026 • 20min
Hype vs Deployment: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF, and the Global AI Arms Race
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss whether humanoid robotics is a real commercialization story or just the next overhyped thematic trade.From factory deployment by Tesla, BMW, and Amazon to China’s aggressive industrial push, Yan explains why embodied AI may represent the next structural shift in automation — and how the KraneShares Global Humanoid and Embodied Intelligence ETF $KOID captures the full ecosystem beyond mega-cap names like Nvidia and Tesla.In this episode:– Why humanoid robotics is already entering commercialization– How equal weighting avoids mega-cap concentration– What Morgan Stanley’s trillion-dollar projections really mean– Why China exposure is a feature, not a bug– The key milestones that signal mass deployment is comingLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#HumanoidRobotics #EmbodiedAI #ArtificialIntelligence #ThematicInvesting #EmergingTech #ETFSupport the show

Feb 17, 2026 • 35min
Playing Offense With Wealth: Grant Cardone on Bitcoin, Real Estate, and Conviction
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Grant Cardone for a wide-ranging and unusually candid conversation on Bitcoin, real estate, and what it really means to invest with conviction.Grant is blunt about one thing most people never admit: even after buying Bitcoin for years, he doesn’t pretend certainty. He openly talks about the discomfort of drawdowns, the difference between conviction and having a low cost basis, and why buying through volatility matters more than sounding confident online. Rather than selling a perfect narrative, he’s honest about doubt, risk, and why not investing at all is the bigger danger.From Bitcoin as a technology of money to real estate as a long-term cash-flow engine, Grant explains how wealthy investors think about scale, units, and holding assets through cycles instead of trading headlines.In this episode:– Why Grant says saving money destroys wealth– How he thinks about Bitcoin without pretending certainty– The difference between conviction and a cheap entry price– Why wealthy investors focus on units, not price– How Bitcoin and real estate play different roles in long-term wealthLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#GrantCardone #Bitcoin #WealthBuilding #InvestingMindset #FinancialFreedom #StockMarket#RealEstate #Crypto Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Feb 17, 2026 • 35min
Markets, Rates & ETF Innovation | A Conversation with GraniteShares
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Feb 17, 2026 • 34min
3 Rate Cuts, Small Caps Surge & 9% Income? | Jay Hatfield's 2025 Market Outlook
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show


