Full Story

Sarah Martin, Guardian Australia investigations reporter on transparency and political donations, and Mike Ticher, political journalist and commentator on electoral trends, dissect One Nation’s surge. They debate whether the party is acting like an opposition. They explore who is moving to One Nation and why, discuss economic grievance, media responsibility around racism and immigration, and probe donation links and coalition strategies.

Henry Dyer, Investigations correspondent at The Guardian who specialises in data-driven reporting, shares a deep dive into over 4,300 Nigel Farage Cameo videos. He outlines how the analysis uncovered endorsements for extremist groups, messages supporting a jailed rioter, recurring far-right slogans, and how paid clips were timed around political duties. The findings reveal patterns of provocative, profit-driven recordings.

Dan Jervis-Bardy, chief political correspondent covering South Australian politics, reports from Adelaide. He explores whether One Nation can turn poll surges into seats. He describes voters’ grievances, why some overlook party rhetoric, and how major parties are responding. He also examines Adelaide’s changing mood and what the result could mean beyond the state.

Jillian Ambrose, The Guardian energy correspondent covering global oil and gas and energy geopolitics. She breaks down why the Strait of Hormuz is a chokepoint. She explains Iran's maritime tactics and how they halted tankers. She outlines market shocks, price ripple effects, and producers' pipeline workarounds. She assesses military escorts, UK policy options, and who stands to gain from higher energy prices.

Nino Bucci, courts and justice reporter who covers legal cases involving police use, and Ariel Bogle, investigations reporter who researches police tactics and accountability. They discuss what counts as 'less lethal' weapons and why the term is disputed. They compare injuries seen in Australia and the US. They examine transparency gaps, fatal cases linked to tasers and projectiles, and possible oversight fixes.

Kelsey Davenport, director of non‑proliferation policy at the Arms Control Association and an expert on Iran's nuclear program, breaks down technical and policy realities. She discusses civilian versus weapons capabilities, whether inspectors ever saw a weapons decision, the effects of strikes on sites, risks around enriched uranium, and how war could change Iran's choices.

Paul Daley, Guardian Australia columnist known for sharp takes on politics and foreign policy, questions Australia’s passive drift toward US‑Israel actions against Iran. He warns of creeping entanglement, shifting US‑Australia ties, murky legal justifications, risks to Australian personnel, and the dangers of macho war rhetoric. He urges Australia to refuse complicity.

A debate over whether Matt Canavan can outmaneuver One Nation and reshape the Nationals' direction. A tense look at the risk of a catastrophic result for the Coalition in the South Australia vote. Discussion of Australia’s quick involvement in the Iran conflict and the legal and political questions that raises. Local issues like fuel shortages and by-election dynamics also fuel the conversation.

Ben Doherty, senior reporter experienced in defence reporting; Mike Ticher, political and policy analyst; Gabrielle Jackson, commentator on politics and social issues. They discuss Australia’s growing role in the Iran conflict, legal and parliamentary questions about involvement, media reporting on Australians attached to US forces, political risks for Labor, and strain in relationships with allies like the UAE.

Dan Jervis-Bardy, chief political correspondent with deep federal politics experience, breaks down Matt Canavan's surprise win and what it means for the Nationals. Short takes cover the tight party-room ballot, Canavan's outspoken style, his tactic to outflank One Nation, tensions with the Liberals over policy like net zero, and the Farrer by-election as an early test.