Rock Stock Channel

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Feb 5, 2026 • 38min

Sigma Lithium Restarts Production: Timeline, Costs, Cash Flow, Expansion Ahead | Ana Cabral

Ana Cabral, CEO of Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ/TSXV: SGML) discusses the company’s restart of mining operations at its flagship hard-rock lithium project in Minas Gerais, Brazil, and what that means for production, costs, cash flow, and growth. Chapters (00:00) Introduction (02:14) Restart Timeline (03:05) Cash Flow And Costs (05:45) Fines Sales Strategy (10:18) Plant Recovery Performance (11:35) Move To Owner Mining (13:51) Expansion Plans (16:45) Funding And Loans (19:23) Team And Operations (27:22) Prepay And Offtakes (31:56) Closing Remarks   Sigma has remobilized to site and expects to reach steady-state production within approximately three months, with updated production guidance to follow shortly thereafter. We review the company’s operating profile, including all-in sustaining costs near $600 per tonne, historical production levels of 220–270kt per year, and management’s view that the operation remains profitable across a wide range of lithium price scenarios. We also examine several key developments: • Transition from contract mining to owner-operated mining and the potential impact on safety, productivity, and margins • Plant performance and recoveries (~70% DMS) • Monetization of high-purity fines inventory as an incremental revenue stream • Status of Phase 2 expansion, with most civil works completed and remaining equipment capex outlined • Funding strategy, including cash flow, development bank financing, and customer prepayments/offtakes • The depth of Sigma’s technical and operational team as it scales production Our goal in this discussion is to clarify what has changed operationally, what risks remain, and how management is approaching capital discipline and growth in the current lithium market. If you follow lithium stocks, battery metals, EV supply chains, or hard-rock spodumene producers, this interview provides a detailed operational update directly from management.   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Feb 3, 2026 • 14min

TMC Files First Consolidated NOAA Application & Expands CRP Area | Craig Shesky

In today’s update on The Metals Company (NASDAQ: TMC), Howard and Rodney sit down with CFO Craig Shesky to review the company’s latest regulatory and permitting developments and what they mean for the path to commercial production. Chapters (00:00) Introduction (03:37) New NOAA Rules (06:38) Larger Mining Area (10:29) Metal Prices And Outlook (12:59) CEO House Hearing TMC has filed what it describes as the first consolidated U.S. application with NOAA, combining both exploration and commercial recovery into a single process. Management views this updated framework as a way to streamline permitting, reduce duplication, and potentially shorten timelines — effectively de-risking the project from a regulatory standpoint. At the same time, the company has expanded its initial commercial recovery area from ~25,000 km² to ~65,000 km², increasing the defined and anticipated nodule resource from roughly 360 million tonnes to more than 800 million tonnes across a contiguous zone. We discuss what this larger footprint means in practical terms — not just headline scale, but operational sequencing, environmental data requirements, and how management is thinking about ramp-up. Topics covered include: • NOAA’s updated deep-seabed mining rules and consolidated application pathway • What “de-risking through permitting” actually means • Expansion of the commercial recovery area (25,000 → 65,000 km²) • Resource growth (360Mt → 800+ Mt nodules) • Pre-feasibility study assumptions and economics • Metal price sensitivity (nickel, copper, cobalt, manganese) • The broader U.S. mineral security and supply chain context For viewers new to the story, The Metals Company is a deep-sea minerals developer focused on collecting and processing polymetallic nodules containing nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese — materials used in electrification and battery supply chains. At the end of the video, we’ve appended recent clips of CEO Gerard Barron’s testimony before the U.S. House, where he outlines the strategic role deep-sea nodules may play in domestic critical mineral supply. Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments) Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel  Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein _________________________________________________ If you follow critical minerals, battery metals, deep-sea mining, or U.S. permitting policy, this conversation provides a straightforward look at where the project stands today. #TheMetalsCompany #TMC #DeepSeaMining #CriticalMinerals #BatteryMetals #Nickel #Copper #Cobalt #ResourceInvesting #MiningStocks
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Jan 30, 2026 • 48min

Processing Davos Geopolitics, Lithium Earnings, Silver Demand, Gold vs Bitcoin

After processing the World Economic Forum (Davos) and the Future Minerals Forum (Riyadh), we sat down to unpack what we’re seeing in markets as commodities move from cyclical to strategic. In this Rock Stock Recap, Howard, Matt and Rodney discuss how geopolitics—choke points, export controls, reserves, and policy alignment—are increasingly shaping price formation in critical minerals, and why that shift changes how investors should think about valuation, project selection, and long-duration assets in strong jurisdictions. Chapters (00:00) Intro (00:57) Commodities Become Strategic Assets (04:17) Davos And Rising Geopolitical Risk (07:23) Gold Repatriation And China's Role (09:26) Precious Metals And Fiat Skepticism (11:05) Silver Prices Hit Demand Limits (16:27) Capital Flows: Gold, Bitcoin, And Hard Assets (20:20) Platinum And Palladium Outlook (22:08) Lithium Costs And Demand Risk (24:15) Copper, Aluminum, And Nickel Update (29:11) Lithium Producers Performance Review (34:10) Closing Remarks (35:48) Howard Lutnick & Champagne (40:21) Robert Friedland (41:02) Mark Carney (Canada) (43:55) Friedrich Merz (Germany) (45:28) Elon Musk (Tesla)   They also cover early signals from lithium reporting season and what improving spot pricing could mean for producers and developers, alongside broader commodity moves across precious metals and industrial metals. Rodney and Matt dig into the silver rally—why equities haven’t tracked the metal, how solar economics may drive “thrifting,” and what happens if demand transitions from industrial use toward investment-led dynamics. We compare the current setup in gold versus silver, and touch on platinum and palladium in a world where ICE longevity, changing EV regulations, and competing technologies all matter. On the macro side, we talk through Europe’s evolving posture after Davos, potential supply chain redirection, currency and reserve diversification, and how a weaker dollar can pressure global cost curves. We close with a measured look at the broader economy: AI’s productivity upside versus uneven distribution, a more K-shaped consumption landscape, and what a shifting global order could mean for commodities and real assets in 2026. Topics include: geopolitics and critical minerals, Davos takeaways, strategic commodities, lithium earnings season, silver and gold dynamics, solar panel cost pressure, platinum/palladium outlook, copper and industrial metals, nickel and Indonesia regulation, inflation pass-through, and AI’s impact on growth and jobs.   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 24, 2026 • 20min

Processing Trump’s Minerals Policy

In this episode, I (Howard Klein) connect fast-moving signals across critical minerals, power markets, and U.S. industrial policy coming out of Saudi Arabia’s Future Minerals Forum, Davos/DERVOS, and Washington, DC. Chapters (00:00) Introduction (08:31) Tesla Refinery (10:26) Policy signals from Washington (15:04) DERVOS panel highlights (17:41) Chamath Palahapitiya on Power (19:16) Albemarle (19:28) Sigma Lithium DERVOS 2025 Panel: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4XnNN8QmghJsUZd7tDcccR?si=kM0uILyBR3ymguUFQ6B2GQ   Washington looks increasingly like it’s moved from policy papers to capital allocation: the SECURE Minerals Act, renewed focus on stockpiling and protecting mining returns, and references to deals/platforms involving MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Korea Zinc, Orion Mine Finance, and TechMet. At the same time, power markets are getting political. A joint letter tied to the National Energy Dominance Council and governors to PJM Interconnection pushed for capacity market reform—price certainty for new generation, clearer cost allocation to data centers, and consumer protections—fueling broader debate about grid strain, AI load growth, and investment needs. The connective tissue: batteries and materials are now central to mineral policy, grid design, AI infrastructure, and capital markets. With Tesla’s 50,000 tpa lithium hydroxide refinery now operating and the U.S. likely needing many more plants, I argue lithium price stability is the missing link—and why a Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) matters. Clips included from DERVOS (a “Davos for DERs”) featuring Drew Baglino (Heron Power/ ex-Tesla), LG Energy Solution, and Ember Energy on scaling storage and the shift from petrostates to electrostates.   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 20, 2026 • 30min

Putting The ‘P’ In LFP | First Phosphate

In this interview, we (Howard and Matt) speak with John Passalacqua, CEO of First Phosphate (CSE: PHOS) about the rapidly evolving lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery supply chain and why phosphate remains one of the least understood — yet most important — inputs in LFP cathodes. Chapters (00:00) Introduction (04:24) LFP Demand Shift (05:59) Offtake Prepayment (06:46) 2026 Feasibility Path (07:45) Why High-Purity Phosphate (10:47) LFP-First Strategy (13:32) China Vs. The West (15:54) Western Buildout Gaps (18:30) Iron Phosphate Bottleneck (22:21) Policy And Supply Chains (24:55) Production Timeline (25:48) Cash And Runway (26:52) Macro And Stockpiling (28:11) Wrap-Up First Phosphate Website: https://firstphosphate.com/   We cover what’s changed since our December conversation, including a payment tied to an offtake arrangement, the company’s Quebec-focused, vertically integrated phosphate strategy, and what investors should watch over the next several quarters. John walks through the company’s 30,000-meter drill program (targeted to complete by April) and how results could support a 10–20% resource upgrade, alongside the stated goal of completing a feasibility study by the end of 2026. We also discuss the broader market context: accelerating energy storage demand, the push to localize LFP supply chains outside China, and the often-overlooked role of purified phosphoric acid and iron phosphate in downstream battery production. John explains why First Phosphate is positioned differently from fertilizer-oriented phosphate producers and outlines key development timelines and capital position referenced in the discussion. Topics include: - LFP batteries and energy storage demand (data centers, robotics) - Phosphate’s role in LFP cathode materials - Offtake prepayment and what it signals for bankability - Drill program progress and upcoming technical milestones - Feasibility study timeline and investor-relevant catalysts - Localization of North American LFP and iron phosphate supply chains   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein   #FirstPhosphate #PHOS #LFP #LithiumIronPhosphate #BatteryMetals #CriticalMinerals #EnergyStorage #Phosphate #EVBatteries #MiningStocks #QuebecMining
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Jan 19, 2026 • 1h 29min

2026 Lithium & Rare Earths LIVE DISCUSSION | X Spaces

In this first RK Equity X Spaces of 2026, we (Howard Klein, Matt Fernley, and Rodney Hooper) pull together the key threads shaping the battery materials and critical minerals landscape as the year begins. The discussion focuses on how lithium is moving back toward fundamentals, why energy storage is increasingly driving marginal demand, and what that means for investors across the supply chain. Chapters (00:00:00) Introduction (00:08:19) Macro And Silver (00:10:55) Lithium: Demand And Supply (00:13:26) 5 Lithium Themes For 2026 (00:15:24) Sodium-Ion Substitution (00:19:51) Pricing And Inventories (00:27:51) Buy-Side Outlook (00:37:18) EVs And ESS Growth (00:54:02) Silver: Demand Debate (00:59:45) Rare Earths And Minor Metals (01:11:11) U.S. Policy And Geopolitics (01:22:24) Defense Batteries And Constraints (01:26:35) Wrap-Up We review recent signals from the market and the sell side—including tightening inventories, stronger-than-expected energy storage demand, and shifting bank sentiment—and then pressure-test the outlook with a mix of independent research and buy-side perspectives. A key theme is whether this cycle differs from prior EV-led lithium cycles, and how supply response, capital discipline, and policy decisions may influence price behavior through 2026–2027. Rodney provides macro context around the “debasement trade” and the case for hard assets, using silver as an example of where industrial demand and investment demand can intersect. Matt outlines the core questions for 2026: demand durability, potential substitution risks (including sodium-ion in stationary storage), and how quickly supply can respond to higher prices. We’re joined by guests across the ecosystem, including: - Andy Leyland (SC Insights) on “five things to watch” for lithium in 2026—forecast revisions, ESS demand, feasibility study activity, capex inflation, and evolving product pathways. - Tomasz Nadrowski (Amvest Terraden Critical Materials Fund) with a cautious buy-side lens on cycle positioning, China-driven dynamics, and capital allocation challenges. - Tom Woolrych (Deutsche Rohstoff) on equity sentiment, lithium cycle behavior, and where risk/reward may be most attractive. - Chris Berry (House Mountain Partners) on U.S. policy, supply chain security, defense and data-center demand, and why lesser-known critical minerals may see more institutional attention. Topics covered include lithium inventories and restocking cycles, ESS vs. EV demand, supply elasticity, capex and project economics, sodium-ion substitution risk, silver’s demand drivers and potential substitution in solar, and how geopolitics is influencing critical minerals strategy. Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments) Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel  Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 16, 2026 • 42min

“This Time Is Different” In Lithium? (+ $QTWO $NILI $NOAL)

In this week’s Rock Stock Recap, we (Howard, Matt, and Rodney) discuss the key cross-currents shaping battery materials and the broader commodities complex—what’s driving recent price action, what’s changing in investor positioning, and where fundamentals are reasserting themselves. Chapters (00:00) Intro (04:54) Macro: Shift To Hard Assets (06:37) Silver And Gold Outlook (08:42) Dollar And Commodity Currencies (14:01) Lithium: Demand And Pricing (16:52) Analyst Upgrades And Market Sentiment (19:35) High-Purity Alumina Spotlight (24:33) Other Materials To Watch (25:13) Outro (26:12) Q2 Metals (29:52) Surge Battery Metals (34:49) NOA Lithium Brines   We start with policy and market structure: the latest White House fact sheet on critical minerals processing, the increasing focus on allied and domestic refining capacity, and why price volatility—not just permitting or supply chains—is emerging as a central problem. We also touch on signals of potential bipartisan legislation that may address market stability, aligning with the strategic lithium reserve concept that frames lithium more like infrastructure than a typical commodity. Rodney then outlines his macro view on the renewed preference for physical hard assets over paper claims, with implications for precious metals, sovereign reserves, and commodity-linked currencies. We discuss how investor behavior is shifting across gold and silver, and what that could mean for real assets in an environment of heavy refinancing needs and persistent fiscal pressure. From there, Matt digs into lithium: the strength of the recent move, whether current prices are sustainable, and how higher prices may bring parts of the incentive curve back into play—especially projects that were delayed during the downturn and may require updated feasibility work at today’s pricing assumptions. We also reference the tone shift from sell-side research, including recent sector upgrades, and the risks that come with “this time is different” narratives even as market depth and demand mix evolve. We close with a discussion on high-purity alumina (HPA) as an example of a niche, processing-led material with growing relevance in semiconductors and batteries—why identifying the right materials matters as much as identifying the right companies, and why “chokepoint” processing capacity is becoming a recurring theme across critical minerals. Company Updates (Additional Videos): - Alicia Milne, CEO of Q2 Metals Corp - Graham Harris, Chairman of Surge Battery Metals (including the company’s upsized $25M financing update) - Gabriel Rubacha, CEO of NOA Lithium Brines   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 13, 2026 • 49min

Battery prices, China EV shift, US vs Europe, Energy storage | Cormac O'Laoire

In the January 2026 episode of the Recharge Podcast, we (Matt from RK Equity / Battery Materials Review and Cormac O'Laoire, Managing Director at Electrios Energy) review the key battery and EV market signals coming out of 2025 and what they imply for 2026. Chapters (00:00) Intro (01:34) 2025 EV Demand Shift (06:36) China: BYD And New Rivals (10:02) China: Subsidies And Growth (12:26) US Vs Europe EV Trends (18:32) Europe Targets And Supply Chain (22:13) China Export Rebate Changes (24:26) Energy Storage Boom (27:57) Materials And Cell Prices (33:14) Next-Gen Storage Options (42:41) New Demand Drivers (48:01) Outro   We cover how China’s EV market is shifting toward PHEVs and EREVs, including policy-driven changes to minimum electric-only range and the resulting push toward larger battery packs. We also discuss the changing competitive landscape in China—where smaller EVs can still top sales charts even as OEMs compete aggressively in higher-end segments. Outside China, we compare the 2025 outcomes in the US and Europe, including the US slowdown late in the year, Europe’s stronger-than-expected growth, and what Chinese OEM and battery supply chain investment could mean for European market structure. On the supply chain side, we unpack China’s export rebate changes and how they may affect Tier 2 battery makers, near-term energy storage battery availability, and the balance between domestic Chinese demand and export flows. We then turn to raw materials and cell pricing—why lithium, nickel, cobalt and manganese trends matter, how inventories and contracting can delay price pass-through, and where higher-duration energy storage systems may feel cost pressure first. Finally, we look at potential demand drivers that may be underappreciated—including Class 8 electric trucking, marine electrification, higher energy density chemistries, and longer-term battery demand from robotics and automation. Topics covered: - China EV market: PHEVs/EREVs, policy shifts, and competitive dynamics - US vs Europe EV demand trends and market structure implications - China export rebate changes and impacts on battery supply and pricing - Lithium and broader raw material pricing pass-through into cells and ESS - Energy storage duration economics, hybrid chemistries, and long-duration alternatives   Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments)   Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 12, 2026 • 39min

Is High Purity Alumina the Next Lithium? (Advanced Energy Minerals)

In this episode of Rock Stock Channel, we (Howard and Matt) sit down with Advanced Energy Minerals (ASX: AEM) for a detailed follow-up discussion following the company’s recent IPO. We are joined by Executive Chairman Richard Seville and CEO Michael (Mick) Adams to explore how the company is positioning itself in the global high purity alumina (HPA) market. Chapters (00:00) Introduction (06:14) HPA Grades Explained (08:23) Alpha Vs Gamma Products (11:03) Low-Uranium For Semiconductors (13:43) Specs That Matter (14:42) Pipeline, Qualification, Pricing (20:00) Supply Chains And China (24:10) Consistency And Morphology (24:37) How The Process Works (26:59) Fixing The Original Plant (28:29) Quebec Power Advantage (28:53) Phased Expansion Plan (30:53) Funding (32:50) Market Size And Parallels (34:18) Listing Takeaways (36:18) How New Materials Markets Mature (38:01) Closing Remarks We discuss AEM’s transition from private ownership to a publicly listed company, its brownfield restart strategy in Quebec, and the delivery of commercial-scale HPA production. The conversation focuses on the fundamentals of the HPA market, including demand drivers across semiconductors, advanced ceramics, LEDs, batteries, and emerging AI-related applications. A key part of the discussion is devoted to explaining HPA purity grades, including the differences between 3N, 4N, and 5N material, as well as alpha versus gamma alumina. Mick provides insight into why impurity profiles, particle morphology, and consistency matter as much as headline purity levels, particularly for semiconductor and thermal management applications. We also examine Advanced Energy Minerals’ customer qualification process, pricing dynamics, and growing commercial pipeline, including progress with ultra-low uranium products. The discussion covers global supply chains, China’s role in the HPA market, and why reliable, non-Chinese supply is increasingly important for high-end applications. Finally, we walk through AEM’s processing route, lessons learned from the asset’s original development, the advantages of low-cost hydroelectric power in Quebec, and the company’s phased growth strategy. We conclude with a broader discussion on how emerging materials markets evolve, drawing on lessons from earlier stages of other critical materials markets. This video is intended for investors seeking a clearer understanding of high purity alumina, its applications, and how Advanced Energy Minerals is approaching execution, scale-up, and customer engagement. Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments) Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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Jan 9, 2026 • 1h 15min

Is Lithium’s Mr. Right Still Hyper Bullish? (YJ Lee)

In this Rock Stock Recap, we (Howard and Matt) sit down with YJ Lee (Arcane Capital) in Singapore to assess what’s changed in the lithium market—and why this rally looks different from the false starts investors have seen before. Chapters (00:00:00) Intro (00:05:42) Shorting Lithium? Quick View (00:06:00) Why Lithium Spiked In China (00:06:48) CATL Closure And Seasonality (00:10:28) ESS Demand: Shipments vs Installs (00:12:06) ESS Economics And Price Sensitivity (00:17:30) Storage Needs In The Big Picture (00:20:28) EV Demand Outlook By Region (00:24:57) Why Broker Forecasts Miss (00:28:09) Why ESS Demand Could Stay Strong (00:30:56) Next Demand Drivers Beyond EVs (00:36:26) Supply Outlook By Region (00:41:17) Deficit Scenarios And Sodium Risk (01:02:50) Macro Risk And Recession Talk (01:07:26) Silver: Solar-Driven Deficit (01:13:15) Closing Thoughts We cover the key drivers behind the sharp move in China lithium prices, including tightening inventories and the growing influence of battery energy storage systems (ESS). A major theme is the “shipments vs installations” debate in grid storage: strong ESS cell output has pushed through normal EV seasonality, helping draw down lithium inventories across the system. We also discuss whether higher lithium and cell prices could eventually pressure ESS economics, and how project duration (4-hour vs 6–8-hour systems) affects overall demand. On the demand side, YJ outlines a more aggressive view of lithium consumption growth—driven by ESS, electrified trucking, and a widening set of electrification use cases—while Matt frames the near-term through a fundamentals lens and highlights where market expectations can get ahead of reality. We then turn to supply: what “latent supply” really means, the pace of growth in Chile (including SQM), Argentina, China, Africa, and Australia, and why conversion capacity is unlikely to be the primary bottleneck versus mined supply over time. We close with a focused discussion on silver: the structural deficit driven by solar demand, the tension between physical and paper markets, and why this may be a useful analog for how deficit commodities can behave over longer periods. Topics covered include: lithium price, lithium inventories, lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, China lithium market, battery energy storage (BESS/ESS), grid storage, EV battery demand, electric trucks, critical minerals, supply/demand balance, conversion capacity, SQM, Argentina lithium, Africa lithium, and silver market deficits. Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) - diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty) - USCF Investments - commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments) Links - Strategic Lithium Reserve (SLR) White Paper: https://blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/strategic-lithium-reserve/ - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter/Matt's Blogs: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast:   Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter):   Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull   Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13   Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER   NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Howard, Matt and Rodney are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

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