The Power Of Zero Show

David is asked about the pros and cons of the Indexed Universal Life – or LIRP – and what to look for when researching it. As far as LIRPs are concerned, David suggests looking for contracts that are both tax- and cost-free. David discusses some mistakes that some experts such as Dave Ramsey make when talking about 'buy term, invest the difference'. David explains that running out of money before running out of life is one the biggest risks retirees are facing today – and goes over two ways to prevent that from happening. David is asked for his predictions on how the current fiscal trajectory is going to affect housing prices, your bottom line and wallet. David recommends that young people try to be more inclined to contribute to tax-free today due to the fact that taxes are likely going to be higher when they're in retirement compared to what they are at the moment. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

David shares that he got into the industry during the "calm before the storm." It was 1997 and, during the State of the Union, President Bill Clinton announced that the national deficit was simply zero. Today, less than 25 years later, the national debt is $30 trillion. By 2010, however, David Walker – former Comptroller General of the Federal Government and a personal hero of David's – appeared on 60 Minutes saying that tax rates would have to double in order to keep the country solvent. 2010 also saw David McKnight starting to go around the country trying to warn and help people, and that's when he developed a presentation, which then turned into his 2014 book The Power of Zero. David explains that there are three basic types of accounts within which you can invest money for retirement and that the first two – the taxable bucket with yearly payments and the one with payments only at the end – are problematic given the rising tax environment. David's focus over the years has been on teaching people how to reposition their money from taxable and tax-deferred to tax-free so that all heavy lifting will be done by the time tax rates increase. All of the experts David interviewed during his documentary shared the same message: "If we don't change the course as a country, tax rates within the next 10 years will have to increase dramatically". Some experts even went further than that, claiming that the U.S. will go broke as a country unless tax rates are doubled. David's main goal is "to put 100,000 people on the road to the 0% tax bracket in the next 10 years". David illustrates the fiscal gap accounting concept and point of view of Boston University's Doctor Larry Kotlikoff, who was featured in the documentary as well. His point of view seems to paint a much more dramatic picture with the national debt standing at $239 trillion. David shares the story of The White Coat Investor, a doctor out of Salt Lake City who believes that David's advice in his book The Power of Zero isn't good advice because "tax-free Roth Conversions are the devil". Despite this, he eventually came around to David's suggestions. For David, the country is facing a completely politically-neutral issue: the maths problem of the U.S.' fiscal problems. David discusses why everyone should look at LIRPs as a valuable tax-free income stream. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

There's this belief among financial experts that life insurance is the financial silver bullet. However, as David explains, that's not 100% accurate. Yes, life insurance can mitigate every retirement risk and solve all forms of retirement problems, but it's never a safe bet when implemented all on its own. A Life Insurance Retirement Plan (LIRP) should not be the only cog in your retirement machine because retirement is all about squeezing as much juice as possible from all available tax-free accounts. David demonstrates how no two tax-free retirement plans are created equal. The people that enjoy stress-free retirement are the ones that strategically take advantage of more than one tax-free retirement account. The first reason you shouldn't go all-in with life insurance is the wisdom of not putting all your eggs in one basket. The sequence of returns risk is the other major reason why it doesn't make sense to retire on LIRP alone. This essentially means a phase when you're forced to take money out of your retirement plan in a down market. David describes how the timing of withdrawals from a retirement account can influence how long an investor's money lasts during retirement. Low returns early in retirement can deplete a retiree's portfolio faster than initially anticipated. Going bankrupt during retirement is detrimental because, if you don't have at least a dollar in cash value to your name, the IRS makes you pay all the foregone taxes up to that point in your life, all in one year. LIRP is not a substitute for the stock part of your portfolio. Its growth is not sufficient enough to stretch your retirement dollars through life expectancy. David explains that if you retire at 65, your money must last for at least another 30 years. The stock market is well suited to such a scenario if structured efficiently. David recommends doing one thing to safeguard your retirement: diversify as much as possible. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

David shares that the 2022 Trustees Report raises a sharp warning cry about the catastrophic short- and long-term trajectories of the Social Security program. The surplus that had built up over the years as Baby Boomers plowed money into the Social Security program is beginning to draw down as the same Baby Boomers are moving out of the workforce at the tune of 10,000 per day. David talks about the fact that, at the current pace, the trust fund will run out in 2035, and the incoming revenue based on the current levels of taxation would only be enough to pay 80% of scheduled benefits. Historically, Social Security has provided the average retiree with roughly 38% of their average income during their working years – that number should go down to 27% by 2035. This means that Social Security will be playing a smaller and smaller role and that you'll have to save even more of your paycheck in order to compensate. For Social Security to remain fully solved throughout the next 75-year project (ending in 2096) there are three possibilities. David raises a key concern that's brought into the conversation by Social Security Trustees: if Congress acts now, the pain of fixing this program can be spread among Baby Boomers, Gen X'ers, Millennials, etc. However, for each year that goes by without a permanent fix for the Social Security program, the pain will get concentrated on fewer and fewer generations. This means that the longer Congress waits, the higher the taxes these younger generations can expect and the lower their Social Security benefits. David recommends doing two things from a retirement perspective: save money today to be less reliant on Social Security during your retirement, and invest tax-free. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

One of David's jobs as the host of the Power of Zero Show is to constantly remind listeners of the horrifying fiscal outlook the U.S. is facing. This episode looks at components that are contributing to this "fiscal apocalypse". David Walker, former Comptroller General of the Federal Government, sees the Debt-to-GDP ratio as something worth focusing on. Currently, it's about 108% – about the same percentage as in the immediate wake of World War II. However, it's projected that it could increase up to 185% by 2052. Not being able to find a way to live within our means seems to be the root cause of this issue. By 2052, Federal spending will equal 30% of GDP, while actual revenue will remain at about 18% (based on current tax rates). David discusses the cost of servicing the U.S.' burgeoning national debt – which currently sits at about 1.5% of the country's GDP but that number is projected to reach 7.2%. The fact that the Fed has begun increasing interest rates in a historic way has been evident. On June 15th, for instance, they raised the Federal rate ¾ of a point, the largest increase since 1994. And most economists predict an additional ¾ of a point in July. David talks about non-discretionary spending, the spending over which we have absolutely no control. We're either required to pay by law, like in the case of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, or by the U.S. Constitutions – like in the case of interest on national debt. David shares that, as we head toward 2052, non-discretionary spending tends to level off. However, the cost of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, as well as the interest on national debt, begins to shoot through the roof. The main issue isn't discretionary spending, but rather non-discretionary spending, and that's what will eventually either bankrupt the U.S. or force your taxes to double. According to David, the aging of America is the main driver of all this debt. It's estimated that the cost of healthcare will rise to 20% of the entire economy. Additionally, by 2030, an astounding 70 million Americans will be age 65 or older and will qualify for Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. And if that wasn't enough, it's estimated that the number of Americans contributing to Social Security for every one person that takes money out will drop from the current 2.8 to 2.2 by 2042. David shares that in order to fully fund Social Security between now and 2035, the U.S. would have to have $2.9 trillion, but the country currently has no funds. With Social Security trust funds likely to be depleted by 2035, Social Security will have to be funded purely off of incoming revenue. There are three scenarios that you could potentially face: a cut in your Social Security, a tax increase, or some combination of the two. When it comes to consequences for individual families, David predicts a paycheck decrease: a four-person family will lose about $4,000 by 2028, $8,000 by 2038 and $16,000 by 2048. As far as people planning on financing their retirement through distributions from IRAs or 401ks, all of this translates into them taking much less money home after-tax. Mentioned in this episode: PGPF.org (Peter Peterson foundation) David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

Life insurance retirement plans or LIRPs are long-term propositions. They only really work if you think of them like a marriage, meaning they work best if it's until death do you part. Don't start an LIRP unless you're planning on dying while it's enforced, even if that means you have to keep it for 40 or 50 years. Your LIRP needs to be a 0% loan. One of the things that makes the LIRP so appealing is that you can take the money out tax free, and you do that by way of a loan.. An LIRP may be tax free, but it's not cost free. For starters, you aren't actually taking a loan from your own policy. You're taking the loan from the life insurance company and you're using your policy's cash value as collateral for that loan. I will explain how it works in this episode. Some companies say that their current practice is to charge you 3%, but they reserve the right to charge you four, five or eight percent at their leisure, sometime down the road. And the longer you give them to decide, the more detrimental. Your loan provision is the single most important provision in the entire contract. You absolutely have to make sure that you understand your loan provision and its implications before you ever sign on the dotted line. The second thing your LIRP absolutely must have is interest charge in arrears (vs charge you interest in advance). If you give it to them at the beginning of the year, as opposed to the end of the year, you'll lose out on what that money could have earned for you. The third thing you must insist that your LIRP have is daily sweeps. Some companies are so small that they have to wait anywhere from three to six months to pull up enough assets to where it's cost effective enough to purchase the options required to make those assets grow. In other words, it's not going into your growth account and making you money right away. Make sure your LIRP has an overloan protection rider. This means that when your cash value drops to a certain point, the insurance company will give you the option of having them essentially take over the policy. They will reduce your policy's death benefit to the point where the remaining cash value essentially pays the policy up. What if you die before the policy is up? Don't worry - you won't have paid something and never get it back. Someone's still getting a death benefit, probably your kids or your grandkids. So there isn't really that sensation of having paid for something you hope you never have to use. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

Today's episode addresses the question 'Do we continue to let inflation run roughshod over our purchasing power, or do we raise interest rates and risk plunging our country into a recession?' David states that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is fast approaching a grim crossroad in which he may have to raise interest rates in order to rein in out-of-control inflation. David explains how Venezuela recently had inflation approaching 40%, and its government decided to raise interest rates to 42% – and he feels that, soon, Jerome Powell may have to decide whether to take similar action. In other words, Powell seems to be destined to push the U.S. economy into a recession in order to rein in inflation. David cites Bloomberg Economics' chief U.S. economist Anna Wang, who put the chance of recession in 2022 at 1 in 4, while a year from now it will go up all the way to 3 and 4. She sees a downturn this year as an unlikely event and says that a recession in 2023 will be tough to avoid. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

This episode focuses on the unsettling math behind Dave Ramsey's recommendation to buy term and invest the difference. David shares the definition of the 'Buy Term and Invest the Difference' approach, and talks about Ramsey's claim that permanent life insurance is a rip-off. For David, Dave Ramsey makes a big mistake for the fact that his analysis doesn't include two major expenses: the cost of term life insurance and the expense ratio inside Roth accounts. David feels that Dave Ramsey omits key details about permanent life insurance over time, in an attempt to justify his claim that permanent life insurance is a rip-off. David suggests making your permanent life insurance the bond portion of your overall investment portfolio. His advice is to reach into your current investment portfolio, take out your bond allocation, and replace it with permanent life insurance. David discloses that he isn't trying to make the case that you should put all of your money into the LIRP – what Dave Ramsey calls permanent life insurance. He suggests that Ramsey has taken a disingenuous approach in his claim that 'Buy Term and Invest the Difference' is the only way to go. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

David shares a stat from the US Labor Department: as of May 11th, inflation over the last 12 months through April of 2022 has been 8.3%. David explains that the general belief is that inflation doesn't necessarily translate to more taxes because the IRS has been historically good at indexing tax brackets to keep up with inflation. However, he says, there are a few thresholds in the IRS tax code that aren't indexed to keep up with inflation – and could result in you paying higher taxes. Social Security, for instance, counts as provisional income. This represents a problem because as your Social Security rises to keep up with inflation, you get pushed closer to the provisional income thresholds. This may not seem like a big deal if inflation increases at the historical rate of 3%, but initial projections show that, in 2023, Social Security could go up to 8%. Selling your primary residence is another area where inflation could cause you to pay more taxes. David explains that profits up to $250,000 – or $500,000 if you're married – from a sale of your primary residence are tax-free. However, since this number hasn't been adjusted to keep up with inflation since 1997, you run into the risk of your profit being subjected to capital gains tax if your home value increased as a result of inflation. The Obamacare surcharge is another area where inflation can "hammer you", says David. David discloses that inflation could force you to pay a double tax on the sale of a home. The Salt Tax, a $10,000 limit on the Federal tax deduction, hasn't been changed since 2018. This means that if your income goes up, your state and local taxes rise commensurately – and a smaller and smaller percentage of that ends up being deductible on your Federal tax. A "tax bracket creep" is when tax brackets fail to adjust for changes in consumer purchasing power due to inflation. Some experts, David shares, think that the adoption of the Modern Monetary Theory in the form of printing tons and tons of money would also cause a dramatic rise in taxes. David believes that getting to the 0% tax bracket in retirement is the best way to shield yourself against all the taxes impacted by inflation. Mentioned in this episode: TaxFoundation.org David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube

"I don't want to pay the taxes on my Roth Conversion" is the single greatest objection David sees every week. David believes that whoever makes that argument is basically saying that they don't want to pre-emptively pay a tax before the IRS absolutely requires it of them and that they think their tax rate down the road will be lower than it is today. He sees the latter point as the greater concern. For David, if you're in the 22% or 24% tax brackets – meaning that your taxable income is between $83,550 and $340,100 – but are pushing the payment of taxes on your Roth Conversion down the road, you're actually missing out on a good deal. Ten years from now, he argues, when the country's tax rates will have risen dramatically, you're going to end up realizing that you missed out on a deal of historic proportions. David sees not being convinced that tax rates in the future are likely going to be higher than they are today and being reluctant to pay the cost of admission to the tax-free bucket as the greatest roadblock in getting you to the 0% tax bracket in retirement. In case you feel as if you're in the situation described above, David suggests educating yourself on what independent, third-party, experts have to say about the future of tax rates – and he recommends reading chapter 1 of his book Power of Zero and watching the documentary The Power of Zero: The Tax Train Is Coming. David shares that, historically, tax rates have been substantially higher than they are today. Marginal tax rates post WWII were 94%, and marginal tax rates in the '70s were 70%. The highest marginal rate today is 37%. These rates have nowhere to go but up. All the experts that were interviewed for The Power of Zero documentary said the same thing: if we don't change course immediately, ten years from now tax rates will have to rise dramatically or we'll go broke as a country. Some of them even said that tax rates will have to double or we'll go broke as a nation. David touches upon quotes from a MarketWatch article of his that featured insights from Ray Dalio, Leon Cooperman, Ed Slott, Larry Kotlikoff, and Larry Swedroe regarding the future of tax rates in the next ten years. David brings up a key question you should ask yourself: wouldn't you rather pay taxes today, on your terms, than postpone the payment of those taxes until the IRS forces you to pay them on their terms? Mentioned in this episode: David McKnight vs Financial Guru (Part 1): powerofzero.com/blog/Power-of-Zero-vs-White-Coat-Investor-David-McKnight-Response David McKnight vs Financial Guru (Part 2): powerofzero.com/blog/the-white-coat-investor-responds-and-i-rebut-his-response David McKnight vs Financial Guru (Part 3): powerofzero.com/blog/power-of-zero-vs-white-coat-investor-final-response The Power of Zero: The Tax Train Is Coming--TheTaxTrain.com MarketWatch Article: marketwatch.com/story/heres-a-way-to-make-your-retirement-savings-last-longer-2020-12-08 POZ episode 181: Should High Income Earners Do Roth Conversions--podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/should-high-income-earners-do-roth-conversions/id1441026169?i=1000558116209 David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before Your LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube