Prof Jiang’s Predictive History (The Story of Civilization, Secret History, Game Theory and more)

A strategic breakdown of the US–Iran war using game-theory frames. Discussion covers decapitation strikes, martyrdom narratives, and contested civilian attacks. Analysis of Gulf vulnerabilities from Dubai to desalination plants and the Strait of Hormuz. Explores asymmetric tactics like cheap drones versus costly defenses and the economic stakes tied to oil, water, and the petrodollar.

A provocative look at why China blurs the line between communism and capitalism. Claims that communism and capitalism may share enemies and sometimes cooperate. Examination of revolutionary tactics, from the Cultural Revolution to 1917, and the geopolitical financing behind upheavals. A game-theory take on elites promoting extremes to reshape political alignments.

A wide-ranging tour of how America solved limits of 19th-century empires and built a new global game. Discussion ranges from founding ideas of openness and meritocracy to constitutional checks and the Civil War as competing economic models. Covers dollar hegemony, Bretton Woods, the petrodollar, and how trade, banks, and institutions exported the American model. Ends by mapping current tensions as a global game reset.

A historical tour of how English language, dollar incentives, and migration emerged from British global finance. Traces Spain to Britain: trade, piracy, banking, and legal systems that built offshore centers. Explores colonial extraction, elite co-option through schooling and finance, and how naval power enforced a global financial order. Considers moral costs and overfinancialization tied to imperial decline.

A fast tour of why marginalized, cohesive groups often outcompete decadent elites. Stories range from Greek city-states and the Aztecs to world cities like Uruk and early empires. Concepts include energy, cohesion, openness, secret societies, elite overproduction, mercenaries, and how losers rebound while victors fade.

A lecture on how immigration reshapes who wins and loses in society. Data on ethnic income gaps and PISA scores set the stage. Discussion of migration patterns, demographic shifts to 2050, and historical population replacement. Cultural traits, corporate leadership fit, and dating market dynamics explain social status gaps. Game theory frames strategies immigrants use to gain influence.

A lively tour of what shapes success: delayed gratification, growth versus fixed mindsets, and the power of deliberate practice. Discussions question whether traits cause success or just correlate with it. Parenting, wealth, and environmental trust get linked to life outcomes. The talk ends by framing social mobility, elite competition, and the forces that topple hierarchies.

A lively class dissects why modern schools often fail literacy, creativity, and attention. Game theory is used to map competing incentives among students, parents, teachers, administrators, governments, and colleges. Concrete reforms are described — seminars, student-run projects, and curriculum changes — alongside the institutional resistance and social forces that make lasting change hard.

A lively lecture explores game theory applied to dating, using a five-by-five marriage model and Nash equilibrium. Evolutionary motives, status signaling, and why real dating diverges from pure rational outcomes get compared. Demographic shifts and superstructure changes show how mating norms and fertility vary across societies, with Israel highlighted as a striking outlier.

Secret History #END: Pax Judaica