Eurodollar University

Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisAP US national debt hits record $34 trillion as Congress gears up for funding fighthttps://apnews.com/article/national-debt-deficits-biden-economy-inflation-record-b4258704f830c7f6e9c5e693748216cbMilton Friedman Newsweek “Deficits and Inflation"https://miltonfriedman.hoover.org/internal/media/dispatcher/214251/fullhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Unlike most terms thrown around Economics, 'globally synchronized' is no joke. It also isn't a recent development. Throughout modern history, when a sizable portion of the world starts to show contraction it will spread throughout the rest with very few spared. It is a poignant reminder given how the same is happening right now. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBoJ New Procedures for Money Market Operations and Monetary Easing Mar 19, 2001https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/mpr_2001/k010319a.htmSpeech given by Kazuo Ueda, Member of the Policy Board of the Bank of Japan, at Council on Foreign Relations in New York, May 11, 2001 https://www2.boj.or.jp/archive/en/announcements/press/koen_2001/ko0105a.htmSpeech by Dr. Willem F. Duisenberg, President of the European Central Bank, at Central Bankers' Panel at the International Monetary Conference, Singapore, 4 June 2001https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2001/html/sp010604.en.htmlFOMC Transcript November 1979https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19791120meeting.pdfSilent Revolution: The International Monetary Fund, 1979–89,https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/silent/index.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

To get the rest of the Lyn Alden, George Gammon conversation and a whole lot more, become a Eurodollar University member or DDA subscriber. You can find the information about those here:https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-1Japan is in recession, one that is getting worse. Japanese officials tell you not to believe your lying eyes, inflation is the greatest risk. All the data conclusively shows it is not, that Japan's contraction is a product of global forces that just so happen to be taking care of Japanese "inflation" risks, too. That's NOT a good sign. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

To get the rest of the Lyn Alden, George Gammon conversation and a whole lot more, become a Eurodollar University member or DDA subscriber. You can find the information about those here:https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-1How accurate are market tools like spreads? If you're looking for absolute precision, you're in the wrong business. These measures are highly useful for broad purposes. Unfortunately, history shows those point in the direction of serious general economic misadventures. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

To get the rest of this conversation and a whole lot more, become a Eurodollar University member or DDA subscriber. You can find the information about those here:https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-1Eurodollar University's conversations, Guests Lyn Alden & George Gammonhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU#lynalden

The Federal Reserve "prints" bank reserves, that's it. To understand why that matters, you have to understand where bank reserves came from and what they were and are intended for. It isn't at all what you think. But don't take my word for it; that comes straight from the Fed itself. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFRB Atlanta The Evolution of the Check as a Means of Payment: A Historical Survey, November 2008https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/research/publications/economic-review/2008/vol93no4_quinn_roberds.pdfFRB Banking and Monetary Statistics 1914-41https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/bms/1914-1941/BMS14-41_complete.pdfFOMC Transcript July 1981https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19810707meeting.pdfFOMC Transcript October 1979https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19791006meeting.pdfFOMC Transcript March 1991https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19910326meeting.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you happened to miss today's Webinar on CRE and the possible dangers from it, you can still watch the replay. Follow the link below.https://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/23/1ym21crukhgh4The FOMC's minutes for its January meeting shed light on the dilemma currently hitting policymakers. They're seeming embrace of the lower rates from last bond rally was no fluke. They instead share our growing and NOTABLE concerns over possible substantial fallout from CRE. However, they also can't help themselves whenever Phillips drops by. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC Minutes January 2024https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20240131.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Another rash of layoffs is sweeping the US economy and its labor market. Only this time, unlike last year, the background behind them is far more concerning and even dangerous (economically, speaking). Those threatened by being thrown out of work know the score isn't entirely made up from those job cuts. It's actually the grim reality of no hiring. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC Worries grow over a K-shaped economic recovery that favors the wealthyhttps://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/04/worries-grow-over-a-k-shaped-economic-recovery-that-favors-the-wealthy.htmlBloomberg How Companies Say ‘Layoffs’ Without Saying ‘Layoffs’https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-09/corporate-layoffs-all-the-ways-companies-say-someone-is-unemployedCNBC As companies lay off even more workers, they could be making a big mistake in the way they’re doing ithttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/20/as-companies-lay-off-even-more-workers-they-could-be-making-a-mistake.htmlChallenger, Gray & Christmashttps://www.challengergray.com/blog/job-cuts-announced-by-us-based-companies-surge-136-to-82307-to-begin-2024-financial-tech-lead/Bloomberg Job Cuts Are Sending a Chill Through the Remote Work Worldhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-21/layoffs-make-remote-workers-reconsider-work-from-home-jobs?srnd=economics-v2Transcript of Chair Powell’s Press Conference November 1, 2023https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20231101.pdfCanadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Third Quarter of 2023https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/10/canadian-survey-of-consumer-expectations-third-quarter-of-2023/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you happened to miss today's Webinar on CRE and the possible dangers from it, you can still watch the replay. Follow the link below.https://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/23/1ym21crukhgh4Chinese "banks" opted for an unusually large cut to China's benchmark 5-year Loan Prime Rate. In truth, that appears at the behest of Beijing where authorities are becoming increasingly desperate. Nothing they are doing is working - and Chinese banks know it. China has a growing bank problem on its hands before any of its other major problems.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg China’s Bold Mortgage Rate Cut Met With Lukewarm Reactionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-20/chinese-banks-cut-mortgage-reference-rate-by-most-on-recordCNBC China boosts property funding with first cut in key loan rate since Junehttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/20/china-cuts-benchmark-5-year-lending-rate-for-the-first-time-since-june.htmlMonetary policy shocks and the signaling channel of monetary policy in Chinahttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666933123000047?ref=pdf_download&fr=RR-2&rr=85898a601dfcdb01Bloomberg China’s Property Crisis Is Starting to Ripple Across the Worldhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-09/china-s-real-estate-crisis-is-starting-to-ripple-across-the-worldhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU