The Bayesian Conspiracy

For Niceness to triumph within the Heart of Darkness that is the internet, we gotta make an effort. The Evolution of Trust A Briefer History of Time Unweaving the Rainbow Key and Peele communicating via text Dan Dennett on Rappaport’s Rules Where ‘Grok’ comes from Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not “Complexity” Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

We got to see each other for the first time in months, AND Jace wasn’t there to keep us on track, so this went long. Whoops! Pitch Meeting The Virtue of Silence Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Science as Attire Fake Causality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra   Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/the-mind-killer?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss   News discussed:   Justin Amash is running for President The Transhumanist Party Power Problems’ discussion of the USS Roosevelt  The Supreme Court is taking another look at abortion rights Kevin Drum: We Are About to Commit Collective Suicide? John Cochrane: Dumb Reopening Might Work Marginal Revolution: Did We Lock Down Some Parts of the Country Too Early? Maryland Governor Worried That the Federal Government Will Seize Their Supplies Short Circuit podcast on qualified immunity   Happy News!   The Supreme Court may be reevaluating qualified immunity Tests in recovered patients found false positives, not reinfections, experts say Test introduced to market with 99% accuracy   The HU – Shoog Shoog Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!

Sorry for the delay on this one. We had some technical difficulties. Episodes will resume on their normal schedule, don’t worry. This episode we discuss the SSC post Socratic Grilling! We also talk about sea lioning We mentioned the other SSC post Black People Are Less Likely Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher’s Password Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Science as Attire Fake Causality Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

New intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss   The Bayesian Conspiracy Reddit, featuring Sonarman720’s feedback from last episode News discussed: The Navy is now recommending that Capt. Crozier be reinstated Georgia is opening up some businesses Florida beaches are limiting the hours they are open State are forming regional coalitions to coordinate reopening The FDA is no longer arbitrarily blocking non-cotton swabs being used in coronavirus testing World Food Program warns of worldwide food shortages Trump wants to cure Coronavirus by injecting bleach into people The cholera riots Michigan (not Wisconsin!) seems to have some arbitrary social distancing rules Robert Graboyes #PostCOVID twitter thread   Happy news! Listen to Planet Money! Las Vegas has a drive in strip club Emergent Ventures: supporting entrepreneurs with ideas for meaningfully improving society   Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!

What’s been getting the Conspirators through this lockdown? Steven: Hollow Knight Horizon Zero Dawn Kingdom Brooklyn 99 Better Call Saul Santa Clarita Diet Eneasz: Nier: Automata When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish) Jace: What Remains of Edith Finch Baba is You Polyphasic Sleep Wobble Cushion Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology “Scientific”? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher’s Password Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Don’t Socially Distance your mind — Subscribe at http://themindkiller.libsyn.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss WHO is reporting statistics from Taiwan together with China’s stats WHO originally repeated China’s claim that COVID wasn’t human-transmissible. Time’s Up Legal Defense Fund Refused to Support #MeToo Sex Assault Allegation Against Joe Biden Reason article on the allegations against Joe Biden And followup about media blackout Slatestarcodex: Against Overgendering Harrassment The Bayesian Conspiracy – David on a Negative Income Tax Coronavirus testing – not enough false positives  Everyone is on lockdown except for the South  Spain to try out UBI? US Government to Pay Pastor Salaries Amazon Warehouse worker/protester fired  Captain of Aircraft Carrier dismissed for requesting crew protection Happy News! Industries pivot to making ventiatlors Crispr injected into dude’s eye to reverse blindness caused by genetic abnormality. Results pending. 80,000 Hours: Good News About Covid-19 George Orwell: Politics and the English Language   And for next time:: Robert Graboyes #PostCovid predictions

Long time listeners will have heard Steven plug his name several times, but now we’ve got the man himself! Futurist, Cryonicist, and life insurance guru Rudi Hoffman is here to give the best sales pitch for signing up for Cryonics that I (Steven, and I suspect all of the hosts) have heard. I promise we’ll work out the audio issues by the next episode. You guys are gonna love the first half. The second half had this awesome audio hiccup so it sounds like we’re recording into those cups with strings attached to them. Apologies for the audio quality–now that everybody’s working from home and practicing safe social distancing… well, it’s Skype o’clock. Due to the time constraint I (Steven, blame me) decided to just air the poor audio version. Tell me how much you hate it in the discord, but only after you listen to the first half. Show links: Everything you need to know can be found at rudihoffman.com! If you have any questions about anything we discussed, hit him up. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology “Scientific”?   Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Politics is the mind killer, so come get mind-killed! Your hosts Wesley Fenza, Eneasz Brodski, and David Spearman discuss the week’s news. There’s a new podcast in town, and we’re giving it a kick-start. We will host the first four episodes of The Mind Killer here on The Bayesian Conspiracy’s feed. After that, you’ll have to subscribe to it separately to keep getting it. Subscribe now, before you forget! RSS is http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss iTunes and other publishers coming soon Links: The Hammer and the Dance Hanson’s proposal to intentionally infect the healthy with a low-load dose The Stimulus Package Rio de Janeiro gangs do the right thing Eneasz has a blog post that says in text what he said in audio re: emergency prices

The conspirators go more in-depth on how little we know about the people we don’t know (Malcolm Gladwell’s Talking to Strangers), plus more COVID19 chattering. Apologies for the audio quality–now that everybody’s working from home and practicing safe social distancing… well, it’s Skype o’clock. Content warning: this episode contains some discussion of sexual assault, as it relates to the book. Non-graphic. Show links: The book we’re talking about: Talking to Strangers Jess also recommends this book, also by Gladwell: David & Goliath Robin Hanson’s Elephant in the Brain The TBC episode we did, with Hanson as our Special Guest Article mentioned: Beware Trivial Inconveniences Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Hindsight Bias Hindsight Devalues Science Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!