Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

The Hammer Betting Network
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Apr 8, 2026 • 33min

How I Built The NHL Betting Model That Beat The Books

Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola, CEO of The Hammer and pro sports bettor, walks you through his first-ever sports betting model, the one he successfully used on the NHL in the 2017-2018 season. While this exact model wouldn’t work in today’s NHL, Rob breaks down the step-by-step process and key strategies that go into building a winning sports betting model. Whether you’re a beginner looking to understand how models are made or an experienced bettor wanting insight into profitable prediction strategies, this video is packed with valuable tips. Rob also answers your questions in the comments, so don’t be shy! Make sure to like, subscribe, and comment your questions — Rob will check and respond. Join our Discord community to dive deeper into sports betting models, predictions, and strategy. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #SportsBettingStrategy #ProBettor #CirclesOff Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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17 snips
Apr 6, 2026 • 1h 58min

Winning At Sports Betting Is Easy... This Is The Hard Part

Panelists argue that winning at sports betting can be taught, but scaling wins is the real hurdle. They expose a prediction market that appears designed to trap uninformed traders. The crew debates pick-selling ethics after a notable operator steps back. Rapid-fire takes cover viral betting drama, marketing gimmicks, and transparency in sports wagering.
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Apr 3, 2026 • 1h 5min

NFL Sends Warning • Cashouts Debate • MLB Betting Myth?

The NFL’s letters to prediction markets and what that could mean for wagering on broadcasts, celebrities, and the draft. A legal showdown between federal and state regulators and the implications for market operators. Heated debate over whether cashout offers are predatory or just smart risk management. A clash about whether batter‑vs‑pitcher data holds any real betting value.
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Apr 1, 2026 • 1h 39min

Former Sportsbook Trader Explains How to Beat the Books | Interview with The Shipper

The Shipper, former PointsBet trader turned pro bettor, shares insider perspective on book-side pricing and account longevity. He talks trade-offs of scaling, how winning players get limited, and structuring bets to avoid detection. The conversation covers building repeatable models, live-market edges, AI-assisted modeling, and using prediction markets as price signals.
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9 snips
Mar 30, 2026 • 1h 17min

Tiger Woods DUI • UFC Scandal • Microbetting Madness

A chaotic week in sports news with Tiger Woods' DUI and debate over forgiveness and future comeback. A wild UFC wrong-winner mixup that let a prediction market bettor turn pocket change into a windfall. A deep dive into microbetting, DraftKings' historical at-bat product, and the lawsuit raising questions about gambling design and player harm.
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Mar 27, 2026 • 47min

10 Questions AI Says Every Smart Sports Bettor Should Understand

Isaac Rose-Berman, sharp bettor known for probabilistic thinking and market modeling, joins to tackle AI-picked questions. They debate overconfidence vs underconfidence. They dig into psychology, where semi-sharps go wrong, edges that scale, markets likely to stay inefficient, and what it really takes to become and remain a winner.
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Mar 25, 2026 • 20min

Top 5 Sports Betting Scams (How Sharps Avoid Getting Tricked)

Most sports bettors don’t even realize they’re being scammed. In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola breaks down the Top 5 biggest scams in the sports betting industry — and how you can avoid falling into these traps. From fake “guaranteed wins” to misleading betting services and shady bankroll strategies, these are the tactics that cost bettors thousands over time. If you’re serious about improving as a bettor, you NEED to understand what to avoid just as much as what to do. This isn’t theory — these are real scams happening right now in sports betting. 🔥 In this video: • The most common sports betting scams • How betting “experts” actually mislead you • Red flags to watch for before you lose money • How sharp bettors protect themselves • What legit betting advice actually looks like Whether you’re new to sports betting or already betting regularly, this video will help you avoid costly mistakes and think more critically about the information you consume. 🎯 Subscribe for more sharp sports betting insight, strategy, and industry breakdowns. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Isaac - https://x.com/roundrobin42 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - The biggest scams in sports betting 1:44 - Number 5 3:40 - Number 4 5:20 - Number 3 7:52 - Number 2 9:46 - Number 1, Layer 1 12:41 - Number 1, Layer 2 15:49 - The questions you need to ask #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #SportsBettingStrategy #ProBettor #CirclesOff Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Mar 23, 2026 • 1h 45min

March Madness Feels Different This Year… Here’s Why

The crew breaks down the discourse around March Madness this year, with many fans pointing out the lack of upsets, buzzer beaters, and overall chaos that typically defines the tournament. With favorites dominating early, the panel dives into whether something feels off and explores the growing belief that NIL has fundamentally changed the landscape of college basketball and the tournament’s unpredictability. Later, the conversation shifts to the controversy surrounding MLB’s new partnership with Polymarket and what it could mean for the future of sports betting and league involvement. To close things out, the crew lightens things up by sharing and reacting to some of their all-time favorite tweets, bringing a different energy to end the show. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and special guest Jason Cooper of The Hammer Daily filling in. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO’s New Live Betting Screen → https://bit.ly/4lsovnG LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Kirk- https://x.com/KirkEvans0 🔵 Follow Jason - https://x.com/TakesByJ 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper, Kirk Evans and Jacob Gramegna 3:27 - Does March Madness suck now? 38:09 - MLB forms partnership with Polymarket 46:45 - Should these cappers have a 100% win rate 50:55 - NFL vs. Flag Football 1:05:41 - Reading your comments 1:15:45 - Chopping block 1:13:25 - Best tweets of all time Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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10 snips
Mar 18, 2026 • 49min

Pro Bettor Reacts: Linemaker Sports’ New Way To Get Rich In 2026

Isaac Rose-Berman, sharp bettor and responsible-gambling advocate, brings no-nonsense, experience-based perspectives. He and the crew dig into player props vs team bets, parlays and where real edges hide. They question flashy get-rich claims and unpack bankroll, limits, and prediction markets in short, pointed takes.
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4 snips
Mar 16, 2026 • 1h 46min

National Media Still Doesn’t Understand Sports Betting...

Jason Cooper, host of The Hammer Daily and fill-in panelist on Circle Back, brings sharp, anecdotal betting commentary. The crew dissects national media misunderstandings of sports betting and critiques a high-profile Atlantic betting piece. They also tackle betting content quality on social platforms, reaction culture on gambling Twitter, and whether kids should learn about gambling in today’s landscape.

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