The Dismal Science

The Australian Institute of Company Directors
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Aug 6, 2021 • 44min

85 - Fear, uncertainty and Doherty

They unpack the Doherty modelling and the 70%/80% vaccination thresholds shaping the path out of lockdown. They debate risks and uncertainties like waning immunity, tracing capacity and economic trade offs. The conversation moves to cash incentives versus low‑friction vaccination sites. Finally, they examine the RBA outlook, housing boom drivers, and rising buy now pay later use.
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Jul 31, 2021 • 47min

84 - Turn up the base

Base effects are starting to show up as inflation spikes in Australia. But with Delta ravaging the Australian and world economies, is inflation the least of our concerns? Plus, UK's Freedom Day two weeks on.
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Jul 23, 2021 • 51min

83 - Deconstruction

The shut down of the construction industry is another hammer blow to the NSW economy. Are policymakers doing enough to soften the impact? Plus, vaccine hesitancy and we ask if hosting the Olympics is worth it.
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Jul 16, 2021 • 60min

82 - Home and away

Starting local then going global, we talk about the economic cost of the latest lockdowns before doing some virtual economic tourism taking in the G20 finance conference in Venice, climate change, the latest on global inflation and the value of mRNA vaccines.
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Jul 9, 2021 • 58min

81 - Phaseology

The government announces its four phase plan to return to a kind of normal. Will it work? Plus, lockdowns depress confidence and jobs, more on the global minimum company tax and the RBA begins to taper stimulus.
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Jul 1, 2021 • 58min

80 - Delta blues

With almost half of Australia's population plunged back into lockdown as the Delta variant spreads, do we need to revise the rosy forecasts from earlier in the year for pandemic recovery? Plus, a job vacancy boom, house prices keep going and European tourism.
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Jun 18, 2021 • 57min

79 - Ready for the four

Australia's unemployment rate has fallen to 5.1%, below the pre-pandemic level, and approaching a 'four in front of it', the target level for the government. So what's next for policy and will wage growth follow? Plus, inflation comes roaring back in the US and an Australia-UK free trade deal.
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Jun 11, 2021 • 49min

78 - Cheeky Beveridge

Job vacancies are at an all-time high, yet there is still slack in the labour market. Is the economy getting worse at matching workers to jobs? Plus, confidence slips back, the G7 agrees to a global minimum tax and is Biden's infrastructure package a stimulus bridge too far.
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Jun 4, 2021 • 57min

77 - Jabs and growth

Australia's economy is now larger than it was pre-pandemic but the slow rollout of the vaccine continues to threaten the recovery. We dig into the latest GDP numbers and ask if we need more incentives for people to get jabbed. Plus, house prices, the Victorian lockdown and the RBA says watch this space.
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May 28, 2021 • 58min

76 - Short supply

Global supply chains are breaking down with not enough capacity to meet demand for everything from semiconductors to furniture. What is going on and will it lead to an outbreak in inflation? Plus, the IMF's plan to end the COVID-19 pandemic.

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