

The Dismal Science
The Australian Institute of Company Directors
Join the AICD's Chief Economist Mark Thirlwell GAICD for this weekly deep dive into the latest economic news from Australia and around the world. From interest rates to trade wars and everything in between, we have you covered.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Aug 6, 2021 • 44min
85 - Fear, uncertainty and Doherty
They unpack the Doherty modelling and the 70%/80% vaccination thresholds shaping the path out of lockdown. They debate risks and uncertainties like waning immunity, tracing capacity and economic trade offs. The conversation moves to cash incentives versus low‑friction vaccination sites. Finally, they examine the RBA outlook, housing boom drivers, and rising buy now pay later use.

Jul 31, 2021 • 47min
84 - Turn up the base
Base effects are starting to show up as inflation spikes in Australia. But with Delta ravaging the Australian and world economies, is inflation the least of our concerns? Plus, UK's Freedom Day two weeks on.

Jul 23, 2021 • 51min
83 - Deconstruction
The shut down of the construction industry is another hammer blow to the NSW economy. Are policymakers doing enough to soften the impact? Plus, vaccine hesitancy and we ask if hosting the Olympics is worth it.

Jul 16, 2021 • 60min
82 - Home and away
Starting local then going global, we talk about the economic cost of the latest lockdowns before doing some virtual economic tourism taking in the G20 finance conference in Venice, climate change, the latest on global inflation and the value of mRNA vaccines.

Jul 9, 2021 • 58min
81 - Phaseology
The government announces its four phase plan to return to a kind of normal. Will it work? Plus, lockdowns depress confidence and jobs, more on the global minimum company tax and the RBA begins to taper stimulus.

Jul 1, 2021 • 58min
80 - Delta blues
With almost half of Australia's population plunged back into lockdown as the Delta variant spreads, do we need to revise the rosy forecasts from earlier in the year for pandemic recovery? Plus, a job vacancy boom, house prices keep going and European tourism.

Jun 18, 2021 • 57min
79 - Ready for the four
Australia's unemployment rate has fallen to 5.1%, below the pre-pandemic level, and approaching a 'four in front of it', the target level for the government. So what's next for policy and will wage growth follow? Plus, inflation comes roaring back in the US and an Australia-UK free trade deal.

Jun 11, 2021 • 49min
78 - Cheeky Beveridge
Job vacancies are at an all-time high, yet there is still slack in the labour market. Is the economy getting worse at matching workers to jobs? Plus, confidence slips back, the G7 agrees to a global minimum tax and is Biden's infrastructure package a stimulus bridge too far.

Jun 4, 2021 • 57min
77 - Jabs and growth
Australia's economy is now larger than it was pre-pandemic but the slow rollout of the vaccine continues to threaten the recovery. We dig into the latest GDP numbers and ask if we need more incentives for people to get jabbed. Plus, house prices, the Victorian lockdown and the RBA says watch this space.

May 28, 2021 • 58min
76 - Short supply
Global supply chains are breaking down with not enough capacity to meet demand for everything from semiconductors to furniture. What is going on and will it lead to an outbreak in inflation? Plus, the IMF's plan to end the COVID-19 pandemic.


