Naysan Rafati
Senior Iran analyst at the International Crisis Group offering analysis on Iran's domestic pressures, security apparatus, and regional behavior.
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Feb 5, 2026 • 55min
How We Arrived at this Iranian Moment and What Happens Next
Naysan Rafati, Senior Iran analyst at the International Crisis Group, maps Tehran’s security and domestic strains. Holly Dagres, Iran specialist and Substack curator, traces protest history and social drivers. Alex Vatanka, Middle East Institute fellow, assesses regional fallout and strategic choices. They discuss protest scale, foreign intervention risks, governance failures, environmental stresses, and U.S. policy options.
