The Property Podcast He called two property crashes: Is 2026 really next?
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Feb 19, 2026 A deep dive into a bold 2026 UK property crash prediction and the 18-year cycle theory behind it. They compare past crashes to today and question whether COVID or tighter lending broke the pattern. The conversation spotlights a hidden real-terms price fall and what market sentiment would need to flip for a future downturn.
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Act On Current Deal Opportunities
- Take advantage of current deal opportunities while the window is open and yields remain attractive in strong cities like Manchester.
- Rob Dix urges investors to act now because favourable deals may not last.
Structure Of The 18‑Year Cycle
- The 18-year cycle claims 4 years of post-crash bottoming then 14 years of growth, with years 17–18 as the 'winner's curse'.
- Rob Dix says 16 of the 18 years are generally good for investing and the last two are when speculation peaks.
Harrison's 2026 Crash Thesis
- Fred Harrison predicts a late‑2026 peak and expects a 15% nominal rise before a crash driven by excessive debt and a triggering global event.
- He argues central banks can no longer 'print' their way out because debt levels are higher than before.