Demographics Decoded - Unveiling the trends shaping your future

Australia Has a Workforce Time Bomb - Here's What It Means for Property

Apr 7, 2026
Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group and prolific demographer, explains how poor industry image is causing young Australians to avoid certain careers. He discusses shifts in career values, the undervaluing of trades versus university, migration’s masking of shortages, regional workforce effects on housing, and the limits of AI and automation to fill labour gaps.
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INSIGHT

Young Workers Prioritise Purpose Over Prestige

  • Young workers now prioritise flexibility, meaningful work, status defined by social good, work-life balance and career mobility over traditional prestige.
  • Simon Kuestenmacher links these value shifts to younger cohorts choosing different careers, creating sectoral labour shortfalls as older workers retire.
INSIGHT

University Oversupply Fuels Trade Shortages

  • Australia sends about 55% of Year 12 students to university, which Simon argues over-supplies graduates and devalues degrees for employers.
  • He suggests reducing university intake (to ~33%) and rebuilding vocational pathways to meet demand for trades.
ADVICE

Expand Apprenticeships To Start Earnings Earlier

  • Encourage and expand apprenticeships so young people can earn in their late teens rather than accrue university debt in their 20s.
  • Simon explains apprenticeships let trainees earn early, build skills and benefit from rising tradie wages over a lifetime.
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