Know Your Risk Podcast The Nvidia/Intel Deal
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Sep 18, 2025 Zach and Chase dive into the intriguing Nvidia-Intel deal, exploring why Nvidia's stock surge seems disconnected from fundamentals. They discuss the implications of China's chip restrictions and how Intel stands to gain the most from this partnership. The hosts also analyze labor data, noting a spike in fraudulent jobless claims and its market implications, while addressing investor psychology and liquidity trends affecting small caps. A fascinating look at the intersection of tech deals and market behavior awaits!
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Deal Seems Politically Motivated
- The Intel partnership looks politically driven rather than strategically beneficial to Nvidia.
- Chase Taylor calls it a political marriage that primarily helps Intel, not Nvidia.
Nvidia's China Exposure Matters
- Nvidia derives a meaningful share of revenue from Asia and China, so losing that market matters.
- Chase Taylor estimates 13–47% of revenue from Asia, implying significant exposure to China demand shifts.
Buy Intel If Momentum Improves
- Consider buying Intel if its business shows even modest acceleration over 3–5 years.
- Zach Abraham says Intel is cheap enough that positive momentum would make it an attractive buy.