Squaring the Circle

Ghost in the Machine with Michael Ferguson

Oct 22, 2025
Michael P. Ferguson, an active duty U.S. Army officer and historian, discusses the complexities of unmanned warfare. He emphasizes the importance of skepticism toward technological solutions, drawing historical parallels to Athens’ naval reliance. Ferguson explores how human motivations, as described by Thucydides, shape modern conflict. He argues that while drones lower risks, they complicate conflict resolution and highlights the need for human control. He urges listeners to engage critically with military strategy and contribute to the discourse.
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INSIGHT

Strategy Follows Culture And Geography

  • Strategic culture and geography shape technological choices and complacency about risk.
  • The U.S. privilege of distant engagement encourages investment in tech to avoid trading space for time.
ADVICE

Use Thucydides To Frame Policy

  • Use Thucydides' fear, honor, and interest to ground policy in the human causes of war before adopting new tech.
  • Avoid imagining future war divorced from political motives and human decision-making.
INSIGHT

Tech Can Encourage Limited Wars

  • New technological regimes can deter large wars while making limited wars more attractive.
  • Unmanned systems may repeat the Eisenhower-era tradeoff of deterrence and increased limited warfare risk.
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