Talking Tokens

Why 70% of Token Launches Fail and How Forgd Is Changing That | Shane Molidor

Nov 6, 2025
Shane Molidor, founder and CEO of Forgd, shares his expertise in tokenomics and market dynamics. He discusses the staggering 70% failure rate of token launches, often due to poor liquidity and founders' misunderstandings of market-making. Shane advocates for transparency and better standards in the industry, urging projects to prioritize fundamentals over hype. He highlights how Forgd is changing the game with data-driven insights, fostering healthier market practices, and guiding founders through the complex capital markets landscape.
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INSIGHT

Price Moves Often Reflect Liquidity, Not News

  • Price moves often reflect liquidity shocks and momentum, not changes in fundamentals.
  • Thin markets amplify small trades into perceived viral rallies or catastrophic crashes.
ADVICE

Require Clear Disclosures For Token Launches

  • Mandate higher standards and essential disclosures for serious token launches, including market-maker and listing terms.
  • Require transparency on vesting, opening liquidity, private allocations, and market-making structures.
ADVICE

Use Practical Tests To Gauge Liquidity

  • Measure liquidity by depth, spread tightness, and resilience rather than just price action.
  • Test if a $100,000 order moves price materially to judge true liquidity.
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