
Outrage + Optimism: The Climate Podcast Who Pays? The Unfair Economics of Climate Finance
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Mar 5, 2026 Sri Mulyani Indrawati, former Indonesian finance minister and World Bank managing director, explains public finance, sovereign debt and the costs of Indonesia’s energy transition. She discusses the true price of retiring coal early. Short takes cover contractual lock‑ins, why borrowing costs punish developing countries, and who must shoulder transition risks and financing.
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Indonesia's Deep Coal Lock In
- Indonesia supplies 60–70% of its electricity from coal and is the world's second largest coal exporter, creating deep structural dependence on coal power.
- Much of the grid is oversupplied with long take-or-pay contracts that lock utilities into paying for coal even if cheaper alternatives exist.
The Real Cost To Retire One Coal Plant
- Retiring a single 660 MW coal plant seven years early was estimated to cost Indonesia about $1.2 billion to replace with alternative capacity.
- Sri Mulyani highlights that replacement investment, debt servicing costs and currency risk make early retirement financially heavy for emerging economies.
Energy Abatement Costs Outstrip Land Use Gains
- Energy emissions reductions from power are costlier than from land-use; Sri Mulyani estimated energy CO2 reductions cost about three times more than forest and land-use measures.
- That influences where limited finance is allocated if the sole objective is cheapest CO2 abatement.

