Supply Chain Now

The Buzz: Trade Gaps and Supply Shortages

10 snips
Feb 6, 2026
Dyci (D.C.) Sfregola, founder and CEO of New Gen Architects and author on construction management, helps manufacturers and builders design resilient operating systems. Conversation covers widening U.S. trade gaps and what that signals. Discussion of a warehouse market rebound and long-term capacity planning. Looks ahead to potential 2026 shortages in minerals, medical supplies, and semiconductors, and the leadership needed to scale AI effectively.
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INSIGHT

Avoid One-Month Trade Conclusions

  • One-month trade deficit swings are noisy and misleading for decision-making.
  • Use multi-month averages to reveal true trade trends and drivers.
INSIGHT

Warehouse Market Whiplash Requires Long Views

  • Warehouse demand shows whiplash from tight to surplus to rebound, so planners must watch utilization metrics.
  • Long lead times for capacity mean network choices require multi-year thinking.
ADVICE

Bring Utilization Into Network Planning

  • Integrate warehouse utilization into planning to link network design and inventory strategies.
  • Run scenario planning on trade-offs between holding costs and service levels before expanding space.
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