The Numbers What's the leadership review magic number?
Sep 23, 2025
Leadership reviews are under the microscope as party leaders face fluctuating scores. Bonnie Crombie’s disappointing 57% leads to discussion on what numbers are deemed acceptable for survival in leadership roles. Pierre Poilievre's crucial upcoming review score is examined, alongside insights into Marit Stiles and John Rustad's decisions to remain. The hosts delve into federal polling, the NDP leadership race dynamics, and the political landscape in Quebec, Manitoba, and Nova Scotia, all while testing each other's knowledge in a fun quiz!
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The Dangerous 70s Zone
- Two-thirds (about 67%) is historically viewed as too low and often prompts resignations.
- Scores in the 70s create a risky zone where leaders often survive short-term but face pressure.
Caucus Backing Can Offset Low Scores
- Context within the party matters: caucus unity and recent electoral performance shape whether a middling score is survivable.
- Strong caucus support can offset a weaker membership review result.
Poilievre's Mixed Personal Ratings
- Pierre Poilievre's personal favourability varies but remains weak in several polls, complicating his leadership-review outlook.
- Party members' preferences may differ from general voters, making the review unpredictable.