Hyperscalers' Backlog Hits $1.63 Trillion, Spurring $645B in 2026 CapEx

In today's Cloud Wars Minute, I explain why the AI revolution isn’t a bubble — it’s backed by unprecedented backlog growth.

Highlights

00:02 — There are some wild numbers being thrown around here early in 2026 as we think about the CapEx investments that the four hyperscalers — Microsoft, AWS, Google Cloud, and Oracle — are making to build up their AI factories, their AI and cloud infrastructure to meet the incredible demand for AI training, inferencing, cloud transformations, business transformations, and more.

01:28 — The money, the huge revenue, is already there, and it’s growing at an incredible pace. That’s why these companies are investing so much, because the market is so enormous, the potential is so huge. This number —$1.63 trillion — that’s the amount of either RPO or backlog combined that those four companies have generated going forward.

02:12 — The RPO backlog figures for each of these companies are: Microsoft, $625 billion, growing at 110%; Oracle, $523 billion, growing at 438%; AWS, $240 billion, up 40%; Google Cloud, $240 billion, growing at 55%. These are very fresh figures from their Q4 earnings results.

03:28 — Microsoft and Google each going to spend about $185 billion in CapEx this fiscal year; AWS, $200 billion; and Oracle, about $75 billion. That totals up to $645 billion dollars in CapEx. The world has never seen anything like this. We’re into unprecedented territory here.

04:39 — That is money that’s chasing this already committed business in RPO and backlog. This is $1.63 trillion. That’s right here, right now — a snapshot of what they already have in backlog. Even if they don’t come anywhere close to those growth rates, they’re still showing extraordinary growth and vitality.

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