
Podcast Archives - Oxford Institute for Energy Studies OIES Podcast – The Impact of the War in Iran on the Global Gas Market
Mar 19, 2026
Mike Fullwood, Senior Research Fellow at OIES focused on LNG and market modelling, and Bill Farren-Price, head of gas research specialising in Middle East gas and geopolitical risk, discuss the Gulf conflict’s damage to LNG infrastructure and immediate lost supply. They cover price shocks, possible alternative supplies and spare capacity, EU policy choices, Russia-China gas dynamics, and whether repeated shocks could change gas demand patterns.
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Qatar Shutdown Driven By Integrated Supply Chain Limits
- Qatar's LNG halt reflects integrated chain constraints rather than only direct plant damage.
- Saad Al-Kabi warned restarts will take weeks to months because upstream, storage and train ramp‑ups must all be phased back.
Monthly Gulf LNG Loss Is A Material 9.5 BCM Shock
- Lost Qatar and UAE LNG equates to roughly 2.2 BCM/week or about 9.5 BCM/month.
- Mike Fullwood notes 14 laden tankers and storage add ~1.5 BCM, so a month outage already removes significant monthly supply.
Prepare Now For April Cargo Shortfalls
- Markets and consumers should prepare for April supply gaps as March cargoes still transit.
- Mike advises switching to coal or alternative fuels is already happening in Pakistan and Korea as contingency steps before shortages hit.
