Hold Your Fire! Phase Two in Gaza?
17 snips
Feb 7, 2026 Max Rodenbeck, Crisis Group Israel-Palestine director, offers regional diplomatic analysis. Mairav Zonszein, Israel analyst, explains Israeli politics and reactions. Amjad Iraqi, Palestine analyst, outlines Gaza governance and humanitarian realities. They discuss the Board of Peace structure, Gaza’s technocratic committee, ceasefire violence, sequencing of disarmament versus troop withdrawal, and prospects for international stabilization.
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Top-Down Structure Raises Coordination Risks
- The Trump-led Board of Peace layers US officials above a Gaza board, complicating coordination.
- Success depends on sustained American attention and diplomatic bandwidth that may be limited.
Structure Without Substance Is Hollow
- The Board's architecture risks becoming a top-level penthouse without the building's bricks.
- Mairav warns substance and operational detail must follow structure or Gaza remains in ruins.
Daily Procedures Determine Humanitarian Access
- Israel controls Gaza's crossings and daily procedures, so small operational choices matter hugely.
- Changing Israeli behavior risks being lost in administrative nitty-gritty without sustained pressure.