Odds on Open

SIG Director: How Susquehanna Trains Top Traders with Poker

Dec 24, 2025
Todd Simkin, an experienced trader and head of education at Susquehanna International Group, reveals how poker strategies shape elite traders. He discusses the importance of Bayesian updating in decision-making under uncertainty and shares insights on how SIG teaches new traders through mock trading and real-time market analysis. Todd emphasizes humility and communication as vital traits for success, while outlining the collaborative, meritocratic culture at SIG. He also delves into SIG's innovative projects, like Rivers Edge, highlighting their approach to insurance and prediction markets.
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INSIGHT

Use Games As Focused Decision Models

  • Games (like poker) act as simplified models to isolate decision skills.
  • Simplified games let trainers highlight specific decision behaviors without valuation noise.
INSIGHT

Poker Mirrors Market Signaling

  • Poker mirrors trading through asymmetric private information and shared public signals.
  • Traders must update beliefs from others' observable actions in a Bayesian way.
ADVICE

Assume Intent When Reading Order Flow

  • Never assume opponents are random; infer why they acted and what private information they hold.
  • Update your probabilities to reflect that others choose actions for reasons.
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