The Reserve Bank Governor says the conflict in Iran has materially altered New Zealand's outlook, even if yesterday's ceasefire deal leads to a de-escalation.
The central bank's kept the Official Cash Rate on hold at 2.25%.
It's forecasting inflation will hit 4.2% this quarter and says it's prepared to hike the cash rate if inflation becomes embedded.
Governor Anna Breman told Mike Hosking even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, economic disruptions will linger for some time.
She says we're facing a severe supply chain disruption, affecting not just oil, but also the shipping of other goods.
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The Mike Hosking Breakfast