Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen States in Play
Apr 2, 2026
Chaz Nuttycombe, founder of State Navigate, builds granular election and state legislature analysis. He explains district-level forecasts, early-vote modeling, polling design, and county turnout signals. The conversation digs into Virginia coverage, expansion plans, and how local ads and primary dynamics play out in Kentucky.
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Republicans Should Prepare For A Bad Night
- Republicans should recognize the risk early and prepare for a tough midterm night.
- Olsen's blunt counsel: 'Start to deal with it' because current trends point to substantial House losses unless environment improves.
State Navigate Founded To Fill State Analysis Gap
- Chaz Nuttycombe built State Navigate to provide district-level state legislature analysis and forecasts.
- He launched with features like district summaries, finance, legislator ideology, and forecasts in eight initial states including Virginia and Michigan.
Granular District Tools Differentiate State Navigate
- State Navigate provides granular district pages with candidate finance, donation/expenditure lists, and odds for majorities and supermajorities.
- Nuttycombe highlights interactives, legislator ideology scores, and being most accurate pollster in 2025 cycle.