Palisades Gold Radio

David Woo: Multi-Year ‘Proxy War’ in Iran & Why Gold Is No Longer a Safe Haven

Mar 26, 2026
David Woo, macro analyst and former Wall Street strategist, blends data-driven views with narrative flair. He discusses a potential multi-year US-China proxy conflict centered on Iran and control of the Strait of Hormuz. He also explains why gold has been behaving like stocks lately and outlines a bearish long-term view for oil amid rising non-OPEC production.
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INSIGHT

Gold Has Become A Retail-Driven Reflation Trade

  • Gold is trading like a reflationary asset correlated with stocks rather than a geopolitical safe haven.
  • David Woo ties last year's 60% gold surge to retail investors buying both tech (Magnificent Seven) and gold, not traditional drivers like inflation or de-dollarization.
INSIGHT

De-Dollarization Doesn't Fully Explain Gold's Rally

  • De-dollarization and central bank buying are not clearly the reason gold rallied because FX and yields last year didn't reflect that story.
  • China may have bought domestic production, so its purchases may not have impacted international prices.
ADVICE

Buy Gold On Stops After Further Drawdowns

  • Position for a long-term bullish gold case but wait for tactical opportunities after pullbacks to buy miners or bullion.
  • Woo says a US defeat or larger deficits from increased defense spending would be especially bullish for gold.
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