Alpha Exchange

Robert Flatley, Founder & CEO TS Imagine

May 11, 2026
Rob Flatley, founder and CEO of TS Imagine and former electronic trading lead at Bank of America and Deutsche Bank, brings market-structure and risk-systems chops. He discusses AI moving from LLMs to RL-driven workflow automation. He explores prediction markets moving toward institutional use and how tokenization, atomic settlement, and stablecoins could reshape custody, collateral mobility, and 24/7 trading.
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ANECDOTE

Calci Ruling Catalyzed Macro Markets

  • Prediction markets migrated from retail curiosity to institutional relevance after Calci's 2024 CFTC lawsuit win.
  • Rob cites the October 2024 ruling and the Fed paper showing Calci forecasts often match or beat Bloomberg and FRBNY surveys.
ADVICE

Map Event Contracts Into Your Security Master

  • Operationalize prediction markets by building a security master mapping and fitting distributions tick by tick.
  • TS Imagine built data ontologies, API feeds, and math to map contracts to asset classes and handle outlying fits.
INSIGHT

Use AI To Calibrate Prediction Market Signals

  • AI can calibrate contract relevance and correlations while clients train agents to adjust factor weightings.
  • Rob describes using AI to assemble correlation matrices and letting clients tweak duration weightings for event-linked factors.
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