The Cognitive Crucible

#245 Pat Roberson and Andrew Hallman on Arms and Influence: How information and influence operations are evolving in the modern security environment – and how the United States can regain the advantage

Mar 31, 2026
Pat Roberson, retired U.S. Army Special Forces officer and Leidos senior advisor, brings decades of operational IO experience. Andrew Hallman, Leidos intelligence leader and former senior intel official, adds digital innovation and strategy expertise. They discuss rising adversaries and democratized information threats. They explore AI-driven marketing for faster influence, training with synthetic audiences, and cultural barriers slowing U.S. IO response.
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INSIGHT

Information Warfare Is A Continuum Amplified By Technology

  • Information operations are a continuum from gray-zone competition to kinetic conflict, now amplified by democratized technology.
  • Andrew Hallman: cheaper tools let smaller actors project disproportionate influence by shaping narratives and decisions at scale.
INSIGHT

The War Over Ideas Can Achieve Strategic Outcomes

  • IO's primary effects are non-kinetic: shaping narratives, choices, and policy without firing a shot.
  • Hallman: this 'war over ideas' now determines strategic outcomes alongside traditional military power.
INSIGHT

Adversaries Exploit Social Seams To Blur Organic Debate

  • Adversaries exploit existing social divisions, blending organic debate with inorganic influence to make manipulation hard to detect.
  • Hallman: IO actors play in legal and authority 'seams', forcing defenders to detect quickly and take the fight to them.
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