Sharp China with Bill Bishop

All Eyes on Iran; Two Sessions Questions; Alibaba, DeepSeek and Distillation; Another UK Spying Scandal

Mar 5, 2026
Discussion of the Iran strikes and how they change China’s strategic position, shipping security, and Taiwan calculations. A preview of China’s Two Sessions priorities like GDP targets and defense spending. Coverage of AI drama at Alibaba, delays around DeepSeek, and worries about model distillation. A UK spying scandal and a quirky Spider-Man China censorship anecdote.
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ADVICE

Propose Multilateral Escorts To Anchor US China Talks

  • Use maritime security as diplomatic leverage in US-China talks by proposing joint or multilateral escorts for Hormuz shipping.
  • Bishop suggests Trump could ask the PLA Navy to join anti-piracy style escorts, a bargaining chip for the March meeting with Xi.
INSIGHT

Controlling Hormuz Is Not A Simple Lever Over China

  • Global market realities limit weaponized leverage from controlling Gulf shipping; China remains diversified with Saudi and Russian suppliers.
  • Bishop reminds that Saudi Arabia is a bigger oil supplier to China than Iran and Russia remains an option for Beijing.
INSIGHT

Iran Conflict Doesn’t Simplify Taiwan Timing For Beijing

  • The Iran war could affect Taiwan calculus both ways: US distraction might appear as an opening, but demonstrated US willingness to use force and potential PLA unreadiness complicate timing.
  • Bishop notes PLA capability limits and that readiness targets aim toward 2027 rather than immediate action.
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