139 S13 Ep 17 – Running Estimates Made Easy w/JRTC Experts

The Joint Readiness Training Center is pleased to present the one-hundredth-and-thirty-ninth episode to air on ‘The Crucible - The JRTC Experience.’ Hosted by MAJ Marc Howle, the Brigade Senior Engineer / Protection Observer-Coach-Trainer, and MAJ David Pfaltzgraff, BDE Executive Officer OCT, from Brigade Command & Control (BDE HQ) on behalf of the Commander of Ops Group (COG). Today’s guests are experts within JRTC’s BC2: MAJ Steven Yates, the BDE S-6 Signal OCT and MAJ Michael Stewart, the incoming, BDE S-3 Operations Officer OCT.

This episode examines the role of running estimates within the Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP) and why they are essential to maintaining shared understanding between current operations and future planning. The discussion highlights that running estimates are not simply formatted slides or quad charts, but rather a continuous analytical process conducted by staff subject matter experts across each warfighting function. Effective running estimates synthesize facts, assumptions, constraints, and limitations while identifying risks and emerging tasks, enabling staff to translate raw information into meaningful assessments for commanders. Rather than simply listing data such as available assets or equipment, staff must analyze what those resources actually enable the force to accomplish and communicate the operational implications. 

The conversation also explores best practices for maintaining useful running estimates throughout planning and execution. Leaders emphasize that running estimates must be continuously updated as operations unfold and integrated into key staff forums such as the operations synchronization meeting, Battle Update Brief /Commander’s Update Brief, and other battle rhythm events to ensure planning remains aligned with battlefield realities. When neglected or treated as static documents, units risk planning against outdated assumptions, leading to flawed courses of action and ineffective execution. Ultimately, the episode reinforces that running estimates are the “connective tissue” between plans and current operations, allowing staffs to translate evolving battlefield information into timely recommendations, risks, and decisions that support effective command and control. 

Part of S13 “Hip Pocket Training” series.

 

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“The Crucible – The JRTC Experience” is a product of the Joint Readiness Training Center.