Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

Vitaliy Katsenelson on Investing Amid Extreme Uncertainty: Survival First. Returns Second (Excess Returns Pod)

25 snips
Mar 13, 2026
Vitaliy Katsenelson, CEO and author known for value investing and 'Soul in the Game', discusses investing amid huge uncertainty. He covers how long-term returns are built, why humility and diversification matter, balancing quality with valuation, evolving sell rules, and treating investing as a creative craft driven by curiosity and discipline.
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
INSIGHT

Digital Scale Creates New Growth Runways For Big Firms

  • Large digital companies can create new growth runways that smaller firms cannot, allowing them to grow far larger than traditional incumbents.
  • Vitaliy warns scale eventually works against them and AI spending may include massive wasted capital despite strategic necessity.
ADVICE

Build An AI Muscle Through Hands-On Experiments

  • Invest time to learn AI skills directly and encourage team experimentation to spot practical use cases fast.
  • Vitaliy has staff build small personal projects (e.g., interactive Zillow-driven commute site) during work hours to develop an 'AI muscle'.
INSIGHT

Quality And Management Matter More Than Statistical Cheapness

  • Value investing evolved from statistical cheapness to emphasizing business quality and management integrity.
  • Vitaliy says cheap P/E alone often hides deteriorating fundamentals or bad management and now quality and people drive his research.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app