Barclays Brief

Forces shaping markets in 2026

14 snips
Jan 28, 2026
Adeel Khan, Global Head of Markets at Barclays, provides cross-asset perspective on macro, equities and credit. He discusses why the global backdrop is more resilient than headlines imply. He explains the shift in tech from infrastructure to AI applications. He outlines FX dynamics including a multi-year dollar correction. He previews credit conditions and three bold predictions for 2026.
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INSIGHT

Resilient U.S. Backdrop Fueled By Wealth And AI

  • The U.S. economy remained resilient in 2025 driven largely by a strong consumer and wealth effects from equities and property.
  • AI-driven CapEx also boosted CEO confidence and supported M&A and investment decisions.
ADVICE

Position For Consumer Tailwinds In 2026

  • Expect continued support for the U.S. consumer from tax credits and ongoing AI investment cycles in 2026.
  • Position for supportive policy on affordability across credit, housing, energy and healthcare to aid lower-income households.
INSIGHT

From Beta To Alpha: Stock Picking Matters

  • Equity returns recently have been driven more by earnings than multiple expansion, suggesting a more durable rally.
  • But high valuations and market concentration mean 2026 will reward stock picking and sector selection over broad beta exposure.
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