PERSPECTIVES Weekly: The Investment podcast

Supreme Court strikes down tariffs: what’s next for markets?

Feb 22, 2026
Deepak Puri, Chief Investment Officer for the Americas at Deutsche Bank Private Bank, offers market outlooks and policy analysis. He unpacks the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the lingering uncertainty over up to $170B in potential refunds. He also previews key earnings—especially major tech names—and discusses dollar trends and events that could move markets in the weeks ahead.
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INSIGHT

Court Limits Presidential Tariff Power

  • The Supreme Court ruled Trump's broad tariff authority under the IEEPA unconstitutional, limiting unlimited presidential tariff power.
  • Deepak Puri warns this doesn't settle potential $170bn in refunds or stop the administration using other tariff sections like 232 or 301 sectorally.
ADVICE

Hold Current Asset Allocation

  • Don't change asset allocation based on the ruling; markets had already priced much of the outcome.
  • Deepak recommends maintaining portfolio construction because the ruling should not materially alter aggregate company profitability.
INSIGHT

Earnings Baseline Supports 2026 Targets

  • 82% of S&P 500 had reported with bottom-up earnings up 13% YoY and sales growth 7.5%, supporting a strong earnings baseline.
  • Puri projects 2025 S&P earnings $277 and 12–13% growth for 2026, implying $300–$310 and a ~24.5x PE on a 7,500 S&P target.
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