Market impact and potential refunds

The US Supreme Court ruled that a broad swath of President Trump’s tariffs are illegal, but there is still much to sort out after the decision, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas.

“It's not the time to really change your asset allocation or portfolio construction, because I feel that a lot of this was already sort of baked into the market reaction,” Deepak says. “I don't think last Friday's decision really rules out or addresses the issue of potential refunds, which is what the market really wants more clarity on. But if made, those refunds could total around $170 billion. So there might be some uncertainty there.”

In the week ahead, some key earnings reports are likely to get a lot of attention, Deepak says. “The bulk of the fourth-quarter earnings is behind us, but still some of the key players are going to be reporting this week” he says, noting some major technology names. But for the year ahead, “The key question is going to be whether the trend of the strongest earnings growth that we have seen in the technology sector stays with us in 2026.”

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