
Barclays Brief Software: In the AI storm
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Feb 24, 2026 Raimo Lenschow, Head of North American Software Research at Barclays, provides expert analysis on software sector shifts. He discusses what triggered the recent sell‑off and how generative AI is redefining the software stack. Raimo contrasts vulnerable point solutions with durable platforms and explains why long contract timelines and data moats matter as AI reshapes where value accrues.
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Productized AI And Hyperscaler CapEx Triggered The Repricing
- The sell-off accelerated when AI models turned into market-ready products and hyperscalers announced big CapEx builds.
- Raimo Lenschow says product availability plus visible overspending fears made AI impacts feel immediate and real.
AI Recreates The Stack Not Replaces It
- AI is recreating the software stack rather than replacing all software; core deterministic systems remain essential.
- Raimo emphasizes generative AI excels at probabilistic summarization, but systems requiring exact numbers (systems of record) still matter.
Evaluate Small Vendors Case By Case
- Differentiate between small point-solution vendors and large platform incumbents when assessing risk.
- Raimo recommends case-by-case analysis since big platforms can subsume small innovations by scaling sales and operations.
