WashingtonWise

AI: Fear of Missing Out or Just Fear?

16 snips
Feb 26, 2026
Nathan Peterson, Director of Derivatives Research and Strategy at Schwab, offers expertise on options and market strategy. He discusses what AI can do today and where it’s headed. They explore which businesses are being disrupted, risks to jobs and the economy, and how investors might think about AI exposure amid sector rotation.
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INSIGHT

Supreme Court Curtails Executive Tariff Powers

  • The Supreme Court struck down most tariffs based on IEPA, limiting the president's unilateral tariff power and forcing use of statutory processes with time limits.
  • Short-term global tariff at 10% rose to 15% under Section 122 limits, but extensions require congressional action and invite litigation over refunds.
INSIGHT

Tariff Refunds Likely But Litigation Will Be Messy

  • The ruling leaves unresolved whether companies will get refunds for roughly $175 billion of tariffs collected, but litigation is certain and the refund process will be messy.
  • Many companies (e.g., FedEx, Costco, Staples) have already filed suits seeking refunds.
INSIGHT

Create Catalyze Cascade Frames AI Evolution

  • Schwab's three C's framework maps AI evolution as create, catalyze, and cascade to capture both buildout and disruption.
  • Create = LLMs and generative AI, Catalyze = infrastructure demand, Cascade = industry diffusion and varied winners/losers.
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